Double Impact on CVA for CDS: Wrong-Way Risk with Stochastic Recovery
AbstractCurrent CVA modeling framework has ignored the impact of stochastic recovery rate. Due to the possible negative correlation between default and recovery rate, stochastic recovery rate could have a doubling effect on wrong-way risk. In the case of a payer CDS, when counterparty defaults, the CDS value could be higher due to default contagion while the recovery rate may also be lower if the economy is in a downturn. Using our recently proposed model of correlated stochastic recovery in the default time Gaussian Copula framework, we demonstrate this double impact on wrong-way risk in the CVA calculation for a payer CDS. We also present a new form of Gaussian copula that correlates both default time and recovery rate.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 19684.
Date of creation: 31 Dec 2009
Date of revision:
Counterparty Risk; Credit Valuation Adjustment; Wrong-Way Risk; Default Time Copula; Gaussian Copula; Default Correlation; Stochastic Recovery; Spot Recovery; Credit Default Swap;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2010-01-16 (All new papers)
- NEP-BAN-2010-01-16 (Banking)
- NEP-RMG-2010-01-16 (Risk Management)
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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- Li, Hui, 2010. "Downturn LGD: A Spot Recovery Approach," MPRA Paper 20010, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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