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Bilateral Counterparty Risk Valuation Of Cds Contracts With Simultaneous Defaults

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  • LONG TENG

    (Lehrstuhl für Angewandte Mathematik und Numerische Analysis, Fachbereich C — Mathematik und Naturwissenschaften, Bergische Universität Wuppertal, Gaußstr. 20, 42119 Wuppertal, Germany)

  • MATTHIAS EHRHARDT

    (Lehrstuhl für Angewandte Mathematik und Numerische Analysis, Fachbereich C — Mathematik und Naturwissenschaften, Bergische Universität Wuppertal, Gaußstr. 20, 42119 Wuppertal, Germany)

  • MICHAEL GÜNTHER

    (Lehrstuhl für Angewandte Mathematik und Numerische Analysis, Fachbereich C — Mathematik und Naturwissenschaften, Bergische Universität Wuppertal, Gaußstr. 20, 42119 Wuppertal, Germany)

Abstract

We analyze the general risk-neutral valuation for counterparty risk embedded in a Credit Default Swap (CDS) contract by adapting the recent findings of Brigo and Capponi (2009) to allow for simultaneous defaults among the two parties and the underlying reference credit, while the counterparty risk is considered bilaterally. For the default intensities, we employ a Markov copula model allowing for the possibility of a simultaneous default. The dependence between defaults of three names in a CDS contract and the wrong-way risk will thus be represented by the possibility of simultaneous defaults.We investigate numerically the effect of considering simultaneous defaults on the counterparty risk valuation of a CDS contract. Finally, we study a CDS contract between Royal Dutch Shell and British Airways based on Lehman Brothers applying this methodology, illustrating the bilateral adjustments with the possibility of simultaneous defaults in concrete crisis situations.

Suggested Citation

  • Long Teng & Matthias Ehrhardt & Michael Günther, 2013. "Bilateral Counterparty Risk Valuation Of Cds Contracts With Simultaneous Defaults," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(07), pages 1-20.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ijtafx:v:16:y:2013:i:07:n:s0219024913500404
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219024913500404
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Damiano Brigo & Agostino Capponi, 2008. "Bilateral counterparty risk valuation with stochastic dynamical models and application to Credit Default Swaps," Papers 0812.3705, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2009.
    2. Tomasz R. Bielecki & Igor Cialenco & Ismail Iyigunler, 2011. "Counterparty Risk and the Impact of Collateralization in CDS Contracts," Papers 1104.2625, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2011.
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