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Measuring Weak Sustainability for the future: Calculating Genuine Saving with population change by an integrated assessment model

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Author Info
Koji, Tokimatsu
Takanobu, Kosugi
Atsushi , Kurosawa
Norihiro, Itsubo
Masaji, Sakagami

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Abstract

This paper presents a future figure of Genuine Saving with population growth (GSn). This was enabled by using an integrated assessment model, similar to the RICE model by Nordhaus. The model consists of sub-models that evaluate various kinds of mineral resources and environmental impacts. Results indicates that GSn is positive i) in OECD during the 21st century, ii) in World and the former Soviet Union and East Europe after 2030, and iii) in Asia and the Middle East and Africa after 2050. GSn is negative in Latin America during the 21st century.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 16728.

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Date of creation: 04 Jul 2009
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:16728

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Related research
Keywords: Genuine Saving; population change; sustainability; integrated assessment model; impact assessment model; growth model;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounting
Q01 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Sustainable Development

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  1. Atsushi Kurosawa & Hiroshi Yagita & Weisheng Zhou & Koji Tokimatsu & Yukio Yanagisawa, 1999. "Analysis of Carbon Emission Stabilization Targets and Adaptation by Integrated Assessment Model," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 20(Special I), pages 157-176.
  2. Hamilton, Kirk & Clemens, Michael, 1999. "Genuine Savings Rates in Developing Countries," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(2), pages 333-56, May.
  3. Kenneth Arrow et al., 2004. "Are We Consuming Too Much?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(3), pages 147-172, Summer. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Kirk Hamilton & John Hartwick, 2005. "Investing exhaustible resource rents and the path of consumption," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 38(2), pages 615-621, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Kosugi, Takanobu & Tokimatsu, Koji & Kurosawa, Atsushi & Itsubo, Norihiro & Yagita, Hiroshi & Sakagami, Masaji, 2009. "Internalization of the external costs of global environmental damage in an integrated assessment model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 2664-2678, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Heal, G., 1998. "Valuing the Future: Economic Theory and Sustainability," Papers 98-10, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
  7. Geir Asheim, 2004. "Green national accounting with a changing population," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 601-619, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Graciela Chichilnisky, 1996. "An axiomatic approach to sustainable development," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 231-257, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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