IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/105135.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Updating Pakistan’s Poverty Numbers for the Year 2019

Author

Listed:
  • Jamal, Haroon

Abstract

The objective of this research is to provide estimates of poverty and vulnerability to poverty by using the latest available household survey data of eleventh round of Pakistan Social and Living Standards Measurements (PSLM) 2018-19. Coincidently these estimates also provide the benchmark or baseline levels of poverty and vulnerability in the country for the present Government of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI); Prime Minister Imran Khan has held the office since 18th August 2018. Poverty estimates show that close to 37 percent population of Pakistan was living below the poverty line during the year 2018-19. The incidence, depth and severity of rural poverty are relatively higher as compared to urban areas. However, a decline is observed in the current level of rural poverty as compared with the poverty estimates for the year of 2015-16. Poverty incidences for various years during the period 1988-2019 are also furnished in the paper. These estimates are developed by using the consistent methodology for defining and computing national and regional poverty lines. This research note also furnishes incidence of vulnerability to poverty in Pakistan. The estimates show that close to 52 percent population was vulnerable to poverty during 2018-19. This incidence of vulnerability is slightly higher than the estimated vulnerability level for the year 2015-16. It is also observed that the level of vulnerability of rural population is significantly higher as compared to the vulnerability incidence in urban areas.

Suggested Citation

  • Jamal, Haroon, 2021. "Updating Pakistan’s Poverty Numbers for the Year 2019," MPRA Paper 105135, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Jan 2021.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:105135
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/105135/1/MPRA_paper_105135.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Raghbendra Jha & Tu Dang, 2009. "Vulnerability to Poverty in select Central Asian Countries," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 6(1), pages 17-50, June.
    2. Robert Holzmann & Steen Jørgensen, 2001. "Social Risk Management: A New Conceptual Framework for Social Protection, and Beyond," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 8(4), pages 529-556, August.
    3. Ravallion, Martin, 2016. "The Economics of Poverty: History, Measurement, and Policy," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780190212773.
    4. Raghbendra JHA & Tu DANG & Krishna Lal SHARMA, 2009. "Vulnerability to poverty in Fiji," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 9(1).
    5. Ethan Ligon & Laura Schechter, 2003. "Measuring Vulnerability," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(486), pages 95-102, March.
    6. Raghbendra Jha & Tu Dang, 2008. "Vulnerability to poverty in Papua New Guinea," Departmental Working Papers 2008-08, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    7. Yuan Zhang & Guanghua Wan, 2008. "Can We Predict Vulnerability to Poverty?," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2008-82, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    8. Jamal, Haroon, 2009. "Assessing Vulnerability to Poverty:Evidence from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 40228, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Pritchett, Lant & Suryahadi, Asep & Sumarto, Sudarno, 2000. "Quantifying vulnerability to poverty - a proposed measure, applied to Indonesia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2437, The World Bank.
    10. Glewwe, Paul & Hall, Gillette, 1998. "Are some groups more vulnerable to macroeconomic shocks than others? Hypothesis tests based on panel data from Peru," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 181-206, June.
    11. Amemiya, Takeshi, 1977. "The Maximum Likelihood and the Nonlinear Three-Stage Least Squares Estimator in the General Nonlinear Simultaneous Equation Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 45(4), pages 955-968, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Manzoor Hussain Memon, 2023. "Poverty, Gap and Severity Estimates for Disaster Prone Rural Areas of Pakistan," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 166(3), pages 645-663, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Celidoni, Martina, 2011. "Vulnerability to poverty: An empirical comparison of alternative measures," MPRA Paper 33002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Vo, Thang T., 2018. "Household vulnerability as expected poverty in Vietnam," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 10, pages 1-14.
    3. Jamal, Haroon, 2009. "Assessing Vulnerability to Poverty:Evidence from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 40228, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Muhammad Masood Azeem & Amin W. Mugera & Steven Schilizzi & Kadambot H. M. Siddique, 2017. "An Assessment of Vulnerability to Poverty in Punjab, Pakistan: Subjective Choices of Poverty Indicators," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 134(1), pages 117-152, October.
    5. Novignon, Jacob, 2010. "Estimating household vulnerability to poverty from cross section data: an empirical evidence from Ghana," MPRA Paper 39900, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Emiliano Magrini & Pierluigi Montalbano, 2012. "Trade openness and vulnerability to poverty: Vietnam in the long-run (1992-2008)," Working Paper Series 3512, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
    7. Zereyesus, Yacob & Embaye, Weldensie & Tsiboe, Francis & Amanor-Boadu, Vincent, 2016. "Participation in non-farm work and vulnerability to food poverty of households in northern Ghana," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235741, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Pierluigi Montalbano & Alessandro Federici & Umberto Triulzi & Carlo Pietrobelli, 2005. "Trade Openness and Vulnerability in Central and Eastern Europe," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2005-43, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    9. Zereyesus, Yacob A. & Embaye, Weldensie T. & Tsiboe, Francis & Amanor-Boadu, Vincent, 2017. "Implications of Non-Farm Work to Vulnerability to Food Poverty-Recent Evidence From Northern Ghana," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 113-124.
    10. Hardeweg, Bernd & Wagener, Andreas & Waibel, Hermann, 2013. "A distributional approach to comparing vulnerability, applied to rural provinces in Thailand and Vietnam," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 53-65.
    11. Mohiburrahman Iqbal, 2013. "Vulnerability to expected poverty in Afghanistan," ASARC Working Papers 2013-14, The Australian National University, Australia South Asia Research Centre.
    12. Shijiang Chen & Mingyue Liang & Wen Yang, 2022. "Does Digital Financial Inclusion Reduce China’s Rural Household Vulnerability to Poverty: An Empirical Analysis From the Perspective of Household Entrepreneurship," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, June.
    13. Raghbendra Jha & Tu Dang, 2010. "Vulnerability to Poverty in Papua New Guinea in 1996," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 24(3), pages 235-251, September.
    14. Satya R. Chakravarty & Nachiketa Chattopadhyay & Jacques Silber & Guanghua Wan, 2016. "Measuring the impact of vulnerability on the number of poor: a new methodology with empirical illustrations," Chapters, in: Jacques Silber & Guanghua Wan (ed.), The Asian ‘Poverty Miracle’, chapter 4, pages 84-117, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    15. Montalbano, Pierluigi, 2011. "Trade Openness and Developing Countries' Vulnerability: Concepts, Misconceptions, and Directions for Research," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 1489-1502, September.
    16. Katja Landau & Stephan Klasen & Walter Zucchini, 2012. "Measuring Vulnerability to Poverty Using Long-Term Panel Data," Courant Research Centre: Poverty, Equity and Growth - Discussion Papers 118, Courant Research Centre PEG.
    17. Klasen, Stephan & Lechtenfeld, Tobias & Povel, Felix, 2015. "A Feminization of Vulnerability? Female Headship, Poverty, and Vulnerability in Thailand and Vietnam," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 36-53.
    18. Günther, Isabel & Harttgen, Kenneth, 2009. "Estimating Households Vulnerability to Idiosyncratic and Covariate Shocks: A Novel Method Applied in Madagascar," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 1222-1234, July.
    19. Md. Shafiul Azam & Katsushi Imai, 2009. "Vulnerability and Poverty in Bangladesh," Economics Discussion Paper Series 0905, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    20. Esso-Hanam Atake, 2018. "Health shocks in Sub-Saharan Africa: are the poor and uninsured households more vulnerable?," Health Economics Review, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-13, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Poverty; Vulnerability; Pakistan;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • D3 - Microeconomics - - Distribution
    • I3 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:105135. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.