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Efficient and feasible inference for the components of financial variation using blocked multipower variation

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  • Neil Shephard
  • Kevin Sheppard

Abstract

High frequency financial data allows us to learn more about volatility, volatility of volatility and jumps. One of the key techniques developed in the literature in recent years has been bipower variation and its multipower extension, which estimates time-varying volatility robustly to jumps. We improve the scope and efficiency of multipower variation by the use of a more sophisticated exploitation of high frequency data. This suggests very significant improvements in the power of jump tests. It also yields efficiency estimates of the integrated variance of the continuous part of a semimartingale. The paper also shows how to extend the theory to the case where there is microstructure in the observations and derive the first nonparametric high frequency estimator of the volatility of volatility. A fundamental device in the paper is a new type of result showing path-by-path (strong) approximation between multipower and the (unobserved) RV based on the continuous part of the process.

Suggested Citation

  • Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2012. "Efficient and feasible inference for the components of financial variation using blocked multipower variation," Economics Series Working Papers 593, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:oxf:wpaper:593
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Christensen, K. & Podolskij, M. & Thamrongrat, N. & Veliyev, B., 2017. "Inference from high-frequency data: A subsampling approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(2), pages 245-272.
    2. Christensen, Kim & Oomen, Roel C.A. & Podolskij, Mark, 2014. "Fact or friction: Jumps at ultra high frequency," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(3), pages 576-599.
    3. Markus Bibinger & Per A. Mykland, 2016. "Inference for Multi-dimensional High-frequency Data with an Application to Conditional Independence Testing," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 43(4), pages 1078-1102, December.
    4. Jacod, Jean & Mykland, Per A., 2015. "Microstructure noise in the continuous case: Approximate efficiency of the adaptive pre-averaging method," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(8), pages 2910-2936.
    5. Yoann Potiron & Per Mykland, 2020. "Local Parametric Estimation in High Frequency Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(3), pages 679-692, July.
    6. Ulrich Hounyo, 2013. "Bootstrapping realized volatility and realized beta under a local Gaussianity assumption," CREATES Research Papers 2013-30, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    7. Markus Bibinger & Per A. Mykland, 2013. "Inference for Multi-Dimensional High-Frequency Data: Equivalence of Methods, Central Limit Theorems, and an Application to Conditional Independence Testing," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2013-006, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    8. Jacod, Jean & Klüppelberg, Claudia & Müller, Gernot, 2017. "Testing for non-correlation between price and volatility jumps," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(2), pages 284-297.
    9. Simon Clinet & Yoann Potiron, 2021. "Estimation for high-frequency data under parametric market microstructure noise," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 73(4), pages 649-669, August.
    10. Mykland, Per A. & Zhang, Lan, 2016. "Between data cleaning and inference: Pre-averaging and robust estimators of the efficient price," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(2), pages 242-262.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bipower variation; Jumps; Market microstructure noise; Multipower variation; Non-parametric analysis; Quadratic variation; Semimartingale; Volatility; Volatility of volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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