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Oil price shocks against stock return of oil- and gas-related firms in the economic depression: A new evidence from a copula approach

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  • Nguyen, Thu Thuy
  • Tran, T.N.
  • Nguyen, V.C.

Abstract

This research examines the influence of world crude oil price shocks on the financial performance of Vietnamese oil- and gas-related firms. Based on copula approach and the sample data of domestic giant oil- and gas firms from 2009 to 2019, in particular in the situation of oil price steadily going up and economic depression of 2011–2012; approximately nine copulas including Gauss, Clayton, Rotated-Clayton, Plackett, Frank, Gumbel, Rotated-Gumbel, Student, Symmetrized-Joe-Clayton have been focused. A new evidence could be found that the oil price shocks have not impacted on the stock return of oil- and gas-related firms in the wave of increasing oil price, but a lagged period of time oil- and gas-related firms could receive more stock returns. The results further demonstrate that world oil price fluctuations have significantly impacted on the financial performance of some firms as PVS, PVG, and PET in the pre-depression period. In respect to the economic depression of 2011–2012, the study reveals no evidence in the relationship between world oil price fluctuations and stock returns of oil- and gas-related firms. In other words, results in the post-depression period suggest that world oil price shocks can affect stock returns of selected giant oil- and gas-related firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Nguyen, Thu Thuy & Tran, T.N. & Nguyen, V.C., 2020. "Oil price shocks against stock return of oil- and gas-related firms in the economic depression: A new evidence from a copula approach," OSF Preprints 4cm7b, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:osfxxx:4cm7b
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/4cm7b
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bagirov, Miramir & Mateus, Cesario, 2019. "Oil prices, stock markets and firm performance: Evidence from Europe," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 270-288.
    2. Nguyen, V.C. & Nguyen, Thu Thuy & Nguyen, Huu Tinh, 2020. "Government Ability, Bank-Specific Factors and Profitability - An insight from banking sector of Vietnam," OSF Preprints 9dcqp, Center for Open Science.
    3. Alaali, Fatema, 2020. "The effect of oil and stock price volatility on firm level investment: The case of UK firms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    4. Michał Adam & Piotr Bańbuła & Michał Markun, 2013. "Dependence and contagion between asset prices in Poland and abroad. A copula approach," NBP Working Papers 169, Narodowy Bank Polski.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Johnson, Leroy & Osabuohien, Evans, 2023. "Return and Volatility Connectedness in Foreign Exchange Markets of Sierra Leone," MPRA Paper 118135, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Abdullah M. H. Alharbi, 2023. "Oil Shocks, Monetary Policy, and Stock Returns: A Case of Oil-based Economy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(6), pages 56-63, November.
    4. Thu Thuy Nguyen & Van Chien Nguyen, 2021. "Financial Development and Renewables in Southeast Asian Countries—The Role of Organic Waste Materials," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-18, August.
    5. Dao, Kieu Oanh & Nguyen, Thi Yen & Hussain, Sarfraz & Nguyen, V.C., 2020. "Factors affecting non-performing loans of commercial banks: The role of bank performance and credit growth," OSF Preprints 6ykd8, Center for Open Science.
    6. Sadeghi, Abdorasoul & Roudari, Soheil, 2022. "Heterogeneous effects of oil structure and oil shocks on stock prices in different regimes: Evidence from oil-exporting and oil-importing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    7. Sarfraz Hussain & Van Chien Nguyen & Quang Minh Nguyen & Huu Tinh Nguyen & Thu Thuy Nguyen, 2021. "Macroeconomic factors, working capital management, and firm performance—A static and dynamic panel analysis," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, December.
    8. Zhu, Mingxue & Zhang, Hua & Xing, Wanli & Zhou, Xuanru & Wang, Lu & Sun, Haoyu, 2023. "Research on price transmission in Chinese mining stock market: Based on industry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    9. Fadal Abdullah-A Aldhufairi & Ranadeera G.M. Samanthi & Jungsywan H. Sepanski, 2020. "New Families of Bivariate Copulas via Unit Lomax Distortion," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-19, October.

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