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The Long-Run U.S./U.K. Real Exchange Rate Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Charles Engel
Chang-Jin Kim
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We investigate the behavior of the long-run U.S./U.K. real exchange rate from 1885 to 1995. Our long-run real exchange rate series is derived from an unobserved components model which divides the real exchange rate into permanent and transitory components. The transitory component is modeled as having variances which switch, according to a Markov-switching process, among low, medium and high variance states. The underlying assumptions of our time-series model are based on an economic theory in which the permanent component represents real influences, while the transitory component represents primarily short-run movements due to nominal exchange rate fluctuations. Because the model is difficult to estimate by standard methods, we describe how the method of Gibbs sampling can handle this model. We find that our long-run real exchange rate series moves similarly to other measures proposed in the literature based on economic models.
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Date of creation: Sep 1996Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:5777Note: IFMContact details of provider: Postal: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A. Phone: 617-868-3900 Email: Web page: http://www.nber.org More information through EDIRC
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Article Paper Engel, C. & Kim, C.J., 1996.
"The Long-Run U.S./U.K. real Exchange Rate ,"
Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington
96-14, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
Engel, C. & Kim, C.J., 1996.
"The Long-Run U.S./U.K. real Exchange Rate ,"
Working Papers
96-14, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
Find related papers by JEL classification: F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General
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