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Real Versus Pseudo-International Systemic Risk: Some Lessons from History

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Author Info
Michael D. Bordo
Bruce Mizrach
Anna J. Schwartz

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Abstract

This paper considers the meaning of domestic and international systemic risk. It examines scenarios that have been adduced as creating systemic risk both within countries and among them. It distinguishes between the concepts of real and pseudo-systemic risk. We examine the history of episodes commonly viewed either as financial crises or as evidencing systemic risk to glean lessons for today. We also present some statistical evidence on possible recent systemic risk linkages between the stock markets of emerging countries. The paper concludes with a discussion of the lessons yielded by the record.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 5371.

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Date of creation: Dec 1995
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:5371

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

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  2. Gary Gorton & Richard Rosen, 1995. "Banks and Derivatives," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 95-07, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
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  6. Campbell R. Harvey, 1994. "Conditional Asset Allocation in Emerging Markets," NBER Working Papers 4623, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Paul Krugman & C. Fred Bergsten & Rudiger Dornbusch & Jacob A. Frenkel & Charles P. Kindleberger, 1991. "International Aspects of Financial Crises," NBER Chapters, in: The Risk of Economic Crisis, pages 85-134 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
  8. Ben Bemanke & Harold James, 1991. "The Gold Standard, Deflation, and Financial Crisis in the Great Depression: An International Comparison," NBER Chapters, in: Financial Markets and Financial Crises, pages 33-68 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
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    Other versions:
  10. Michael Mussa & Morris Goldstein, 1993. "The integration of world capital markets," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 245-330.
  11. Barry Eichengreen & Richard Portes, 1989. "The Anatomy of Financial Crises," NBER Working Papers 2126, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  12. Gary Gorton & Richard Rosen, 1995. "Banks and Derivatives," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1995, Volume 10, pages 299-349 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
  13. Gary Gorton & Richard Rosen, 1995. "Banks and derivatives," Working Papers 95-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
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    Other versions:
  16. Michael R. Darby, 1994. "Over-the-Counter Derivatives and Systemic Risk to the Global Financial System," NBER Working Papers 4801, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Jacklin, Charles J & Bhattacharya, Sudipto, 1988. "Distinguishing Panics and Information-Based Bank Runs: Welfare and Policy Implications," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(3), pages 568-92, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  18. Gary Gorton & Richard Rosen, 1995. "Banks and Derivatives," NBER Working Papers 5100, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. John Kambhu & Til Schuermann & Kevin J. Stiroh, 2007. "Hedge funds, financial intermediation, and systemic risk," Staff Reports 291, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Yunjong Wang, 1999. "Restructuring and the Role of International Financial Institutions: A Korean View," Finance Working Papers 467, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  3. Scot A. C. Gould & Sarkis J. Khoury, . "Systemic Risk: Simulating Local Shocks To A Global System," Claremont Colleges Working Papers 2003-02, Claremont Colleges. [Downloadable!]
  4. Alicia García Herrero & Pedro del Río, 2003. "Financial stability and the design of monetary policy," Banco de España Working Papers 0315, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
  5. Scot A. C. Gould & Stephen A. Naftilan & Sarkis J. Khoury & Danae J. Wright, . "Systemic Risk: A More Rigorous and Realistic Simulation," Claremont Colleges Working Papers 2001-33, Claremont Colleges. [Downloadable!]
  6. Michael Bordo & Anna Schwartz, 1996. "Why clashes between internal and external stability goals end in currency crises, 1797–1994," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 437-468, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Martin Mayer, 1999. "Risk Reduction in the New Financial Architecture: Realities, Fallacies, and Proposals," Macroeconomics 9905003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  8. George G. Kaufman, 1998. "Central banks, asset bubbles, and financial stability," Working Paper Series WP-98-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. [Downloadable!]
  9. Yung Chul PARK & Yunjong WANG, 2001. "Reform Of The International Financial System And Institutions In Light Of The Asian Financial Crisis," G-24 Discussion Papers 12, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. [Downloadable!]
  10. Michael D. Bordo & Anna J. Schwartz, 1997. "Why Clashes Between Internal and External Stability Goals End in Currency Crises, 1797-1994," NBER Working Papers 5710, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Jose Antonio R. Tan, III, 1998. "Contagion effects during the Asian financial crisis: stock price data," Pacific Basin Working Paper Series 98-06, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
  12. Michael D. Bordo & Anna J. Schwartz, 2000. "Measuring Real Economic Effects of Bailouts: Historical Perspectives on How Countries in Financial Distress Have Fared With and Without Bailouts," NBER Working Papers 7701, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  13. Marcel Fratzscher, 1998. "Why are currency crises contagious? A comparison of the Latin American Crisis of 1994–1995 and the Asian Crisis of 1997–1998," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 134(4), pages 664-691, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Alicia García Herrero & Pedro del Río López, 2003. "Implications of the design of monetary policy for financial stability," Macroeconomics 0304008, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  15. Martin Mayer, . ""Risk Reduction in the New Financial Architecture: Realities and Fallacies in International" Financial Reform," Economics Public Policy Brief Archive 56, Levy Economics Institute, The. [Downloadable!]
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