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The Economic Impacts of the US-China Trade War

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  • Pablo Fajgelbaum
  • Amit Khandelwal

Abstract

In 2018, the US launched a trade war with China, an abrupt departure from its historical leadership in integrating global markets. By late 2019, the US had imposed tariffs on roughly $350 billion of Chinese imports, and China had retaliated on $100 billion US exports. Economists have used a diversity of data and methods to assess the impacts of the trade war on the US, China and other countries. This article reviews what we have learned to date from this work.

Suggested Citation

  • Pablo Fajgelbaum & Amit Khandelwal, 2021. "The Economic Impacts of the US-China Trade War," NBER Working Papers 29315, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:29315
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    Cited by:

    1. HAYAKAWA, Kazunobu & SUDSAWASD, Sasatra, 2024. "Trade Effects of the US–China Trade War on a Third Country: Preventing Trade Rerouting from China," IDE Discussion Papers 916, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    2. Lake, James & Nie, Jun, 2023. "The 2020 US Presidential election and Trump’s wars on trade and health insurance," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    3. Asier Minondo, 2024. "How exporters neutralised an increase in tariffs," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3), pages 1274-1296, March.
    4. Lastauskas, Povilas & Proškutė, Aurelija & Žaldokas, Alminas, 2023. "How do firms adjust when trade stops?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 287-307.
    5. Ahn, JaeBin & Greaney, Theresa M. & Kiyota, Kozo, 2022. "Political conflict and angry consumers: Evaluating the regional impacts of a consumer boycott on travel services trade," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    6. Daniel Carroll & Sewon Hur, 2023. "On The Distributional Effects Of International Tariffs," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(4), pages 1311-1346, November.
    7. Hayakawa,Kazunobu, 2022. "The trade impact of U.S.-China conflict in Southeast Asia," IDE Discussion Papers 873, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    8. Benguria, Felipe & Choi, Jaerim & Swenson, Deborah L. & Xu, Mingzhi (Jimmy), 2022. "Anxiety or pain? The impact of tariffs and uncertainty on Chinese firms in the trade war," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    9. Pablo Fajgelbaum & Pinelopi K. Goldberg & Patrick J. Kennedy & Amit Khandelwal & Daria Taglioni, 2021. "The US-China Trade War and Global Reallocations," NBER Working Papers 29562, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Ding, Guanzu & Guo, Guangyuan & Wu, Caiyun & Yu, Jiawen, 2022. "China-US trade friction and welfare: The role of regional trade agreements," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    11. Dai, Mi, 2022. "Tariff pass-through: the case of china's WTO accession," IDE Discussion Papers 870, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    12. Mengmeng Liu & Hao Wu & Haopeng Wang, 2023. "Will Trade Protection Trigger a Surge in Investment-Related CO 2 Emissions? Evidence from Multi-Regional Input–Output Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-21, June.
    13. James Lake & Jun Nie, 2022. "The 2020 US Presidential Election and Trump's Trade War," CESifo Working Paper Series 9669, CESifo.
    14. Lei Wang & Thomas Stephen Ramsey, 2023. "Will falling domestic labor compensation share really be improved when global trade slowdown?," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    15. Chen, Fang-Yueh, 2023. "Trade warfare and sanctions in vertically related markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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