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The Economic Impacts of the US–China Trade War

Author

Listed:
  • Amit K. Khandelwal

    (Columbia Business School, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA)

  • Pablo D. Fajgelbaum

    (Department of Economics, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, USA)

Abstract

In 2018, the United States launched a trade war with China, marking an abrupt departure from its historical leadership in integrating global markets. By late 2019, the United States had imposed tariffs on roughly $350 billion of Chinese imports, and China had retaliated on $100 billion of US exports. Economists have used a diversity of data and methods to assess the impacts of the trade war on the United States, China, and other countries. This article reviews what we have learned to date from this work.

Suggested Citation

  • Amit K. Khandelwal & Pablo D. Fajgelbaum, 2022. "The Economic Impacts of the US–China Trade War," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 205-228, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:anr:reveco:v:14:y:2022:p:205-228
    DOI: 10.1146/annurev-economics-051420-110410
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Pablo Fajgelbaum & Pinelopi K. Goldberg & Patrick Kennedy & Amit Khandelwal & Daria Taglioni, 2021. "The US-China Trade War and Global Reallocations," Working Papers 2021-80, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    2. James Lake & Jun Nie, 2022. "The 2020 US Presidential Election and Trump's Trade War," CESifo Working Paper Series 9669, CESifo.
    3. Ahn, JaeBin & Greaney, Theresa M. & Kiyota, Kozo, 2022. "Political conflict and angry consumers: Evaluating the regional impacts of a consumer boycott on travel services trade," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    4. Dai, Mi, 2022. "Tariff pass-through: the case of china's WTO accession," IDE Discussion Papers 870, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    5. Benguria, Felipe & Choi, Jaerim & Swenson, Deborah L. & Xu, Mingzhi (Jimmy), 2022. "Anxiety or pain? The impact of tariffs and uncertainty on Chinese firms in the trade war," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    6. Ding, Guanzu & Guo, Guangyuan & Wu, Caiyun & Yu, Jiawen, 2022. "China-US trade friction and welfare: The role of regional trade agreements," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    7. HAYAKAWA, Kazunobu & SUDSAWASD, Sasatra, 2024. "Trade Effects of the US–China Trade War on a Third Country: Preventing Trade Rerouting from China," IDE Discussion Papers 916, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    8. Lei Wang & Thomas Stephen Ramsey, 2023. "Will falling domestic labor compensation share really be improved when global trade slowdown?," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    9. Asier Minondo, 2024. "How exporters neutralised an increase in tariffs," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3), pages 1274-1296, March.
    10. Lastauskas, Povilas & Proškutė, Aurelija & Žaldokas, Alminas, 2023. "How do firms adjust when trade stops?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 287-307.
    11. Chen, Fang-Yueh, 2023. "Trade warfare and sanctions in vertically related markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    12. Daniel Carroll & Sewon Hur, 2023. "On The Distributional Effects Of International Tariffs," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(4), pages 1311-1346, November.
    13. Mengmeng Liu & Hao Wu & Haopeng Wang, 2023. "Will Trade Protection Trigger a Surge in Investment-Related CO 2 Emissions? Evidence from Multi-Regional Input–Output Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-21, June.
    14. Hayakawa,Kazunobu, 2022. "The trade impact of U.S.-China conflict in Southeast Asia," IDE Discussion Papers 873, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    15. Lake, James & Nie, Jun, 2023. "The 2020 US Presidential election and Trump’s wars on trade and health insurance," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    international trade; globalization; tariffs;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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