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The Performance of Alternative Monetary Regimes

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  • Laurence M. Ball

Abstract

This paper compares the performance of economies with different monetary regimes during the last quarter century. The conclusions include: (1) There is little evidence that inflation targeting affects performance in advanced economies, but some evidence of benefits in emerging economies; (2) Europe’s monetary union has increased intra-European trade and capital flows, but divergence in national price levels may destabilize output in the future; (3) The “monetary analysis” of the European Central Bank has little effect on the ECB’s policy decisions; and (4) Countries with hard currency pegs experience unusually severe recessions when capital flight occurs.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 16124.

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Date of creation: Jun 2010
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Publication status: published as “The Performance of Alternative Monetary Regimes,” in Friedman and Woodford (eds.), Handbook of Monetary Economics , North Holland Press, 2011.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:16124

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  1. Frankel, Jeffrey, 2008. "The Estimated Effects of the Euro on Trade: Why Are They Below Historical Effects of Monetary Unions Among Smaller Countries?," Working Paper Series rwp08-076, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
  2. Rose, Andrew, 1999. "One Money, One Market: Estimating the Effect of Common Currencies on Trade," Seminar Papers 678, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
  3. Vega, Marco & Winkelried, Diego, 2004. "Inflation Targeting and Inflation Behavior: A Successful Story?," MPRA Paper 838, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Andrew T. Levin & Fabio M. Natalucci & Jeremy M. Piger, 2004. "The macroeconomic effects of inflation targeting," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Jul, pages 51-80.
  5. Augusto de la Torre & Eduardo Levy Yeyati & Sergio L. Schmukler, 2003. "Living and Dying with Hard Pegs: The Rise and Fall of Argentina's Currency Board," JOURNAL OF LACEA ECONOMIA, LACEA - LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION.
  6. Manfred J.M. Neumann & Jrgen von Hagen, 2002. "Does inflation targeting matter?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Jul, pages 127-148.
  7. Frederic S. Mishkin & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2007. "Does Inflation Targeting Make a Difference?," NBER Working Papers 12876, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  8. Lin, Shu & Ye, Haichun, 2007. "Does inflation targeting really make a difference? Evaluating the treatment effect of inflation targeting in seven industrial countries," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(8), pages 2521-2533, November.
  9. Michael J. Dueker & Andreas M. Fischer, 2006. "Do inflation targeters outperform non-targeters?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Sep, pages 431-450.
  10. Baldwin, Richard E., 2006. "The euro’s trade effects," Working Paper Series 0594, European Central Bank.
  11. Goncalves, Carlos Eduardo S. & Salles, Joao M., 2008. "Inflation targeting in emerging economies: What do the data say?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(1-2), pages 312-318, February.
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Cited by:
  1. Laurence Ball & Nicol�s De Roux & Marc Hofstetter, 2011. "Unemployment in Latin America and the Caribbean," Economics Working Paper Archive 582, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics.
  2. Minea, Alexandru & Tapsoba, René, 2014. "Does inflation targeting improve fiscal discipline?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 185-203.
  3. Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli & Eva Ortega, 2009. "Do institutional changes affect business cycles? Evidence from Europe," Economics Working Papers 1158, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Apr 2012.
  4. Franz Hamann & Marc Hofstetter & Miguel Urrutia, 2014. "Inflation Targeting in Colombia, 2002-2012," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 011189, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  5. Franz Hamann & Marc Hofstetter & Miguel Urrutia, 2014. "Inflation Targeting in Colombia, 2002-2012," Borradores de Economia 818, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  6. Ftiti, Zied & Hichri, Walid, 2014. "The price stability under inflation targeting regime: An analysis with a new intermediate approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 23-32.
  7. Shu Lin & Haichun Ye, 2012. "What to Target? Inflation or Exchange Rate," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 78(4), pages 1202-1221, April.
  8. Franz Hamann & Marc Hofstetter & Miguel Urrutia, 2014. "Inflation Targeting in Colombia, 2002-2012," DOCUMENTOS CEDE 011007, UNIVERSIDAD DE LOS ANDES-CEDE.
  9. Andrew Swiston, 2011. "Official Dollarization As a Monetary Regime," IMF Working Papers 11/129, International Monetary Fund.
  10. de Carvalho Filho, Irineu, 2011. "28 Months Later: How Inflation Targeters Outperformed Their Peers in the Great Recession," MPRA Paper 29100, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  11. Runchana Pongsaparn & Panda Ketruangroch & Dhanaporn Hirunwong, 2012. "Monetary Policy conduct in Review: The Appropriate Choice of Instruments," Working Papers 2012-05, Economic Research Department, Bank of Thailand.

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