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Instrumental Variables, Selection Models, and Tight Bounds on the Average Treatment Effect

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Author Info
James J. Heckman
Edward J. Vytlacil

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Abstract

This paper exposits and relates two distinct approaches to bounding the average treatment effect. One approach, based on instrumental variables, is due to Manski (1990, 1994), who derives tight bounds on the average treatment effect under a mean independence form of the instrumental variables (IV) condition. The second approach, based on latent index models, is due to Heckman and Vytlacil (1999, 2000a), who derive bounds on the average treatment effect that exploit the assumption of a nonparametric selection model with an exclusion restriction. Their conditions imply the instrumental variable condition studied by Manski, so that their conditions are stronger than the Manski conditions. In this paper, we study the relationship between the two sets of bounds implied by these alternative conditions. We show that: (1) the Heckman and Vytlacil bounds are tight given their assumption of a nonparametric selection model; (2) the Manski bounds simplify to the Heckman and Vytlacil bounds under the nonparametric selection model assumption.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Technical Working Papers with number 0259.

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Date of creation: Aug 2000
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberte:0259

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
H43 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - Project Evaluation; Social Discount Rate

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  1. Manski, C.F., 1990. "The Selection Problem," Working papers 90-12, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
  2. Heckman, James J, 1990. "Varieties of Selection Bias," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(2), pages 313-18, May.
  3. James J. Heckman & Edward J. Vytlacil, 2000. "Local Instrumental Variables," NBER Technical Working Papers 0252, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Charles F. Manski & John V. Pepper, 2000. "Monotone Instrumental Variables, with an Application to the Returns to Schooling," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(4), pages 997-1012, July.
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  5. Heckman, James J & Smith, Jeffrey, 1997. "Making the Most Out of Programme Evaluations and Social Experiments: Accounting for Heterogeneity in Programme Impacts," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 64(4), pages 487-535, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Imbens, Guido W & Angrist, Joshua D, 1994. "Identification and Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 62(2), pages 467-75, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Edward Vytlacil, 2002. "Independence, Monotonicity, and Latent Index Models: An Equivalence Result," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(1), pages 331-341, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. David S. Lee, 2002. "Trimming for Bounds on Treatment Effects with Missing Outcomes," NBER Technical Working Papers 0277, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Michael Gerfin & Martin Schellhorn, 2005. "Nonparametric Bounds on the Effect of Deductibles in Health Care Insurance on Doctor Visits - Swiss Evidence," IZA Discussion Papers 1616, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Michael Gebel & Friedhelm Pfeiffer, 2007. "Educational Expansion and Its Heterogeneous Returns for Wage Workers," SOEPpapers 13, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). [Downloadable!]
  4. Hujer, Reinhard & Thomsen, Stephan L., 2006. "Wirksamkeit von Arbeitsbeschaffungsmaßnahmen in Deutschland : empirische Befunde mikroökonometrischer Analysen," ZEW Discussion Papers 06-54, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  5. Gebel, Michael & Pfeiffer, Friedhelm, 2007. "Educational expansion and its heterogeneous returns for wage workers," ZEW Discussion Papers 07-010, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  6. Jay Bhattacharya & Azeem Shaikh & Edward Vytlacil, 2005. "Treatment Effect Bounds: An Application to Swan-Ganz Catheterization," NBER Working Papers 11263, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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