In this paper we contrast a number of univariate models of Canadian GDP. We find that non-linear models are prefered to linear models, and that the most recent recession in Canada was unique in both its length and in the slow speed of recovery. We also briefly explore the link between stages of the Canadian and of the US business cycle.
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Length: 15 pages Date of creation: 1998 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:mlb:wpaper:640
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Find related papers by JEL classification: C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
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