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Der Nachhaltigkeitsfaktor und andere Formelmodifikationen zur langfristigen Stabilisierung des Beitragssatzes zur GRV

Author

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  • Börsch-Supan, Axel
  • Reil-Held, Anette
  • Christina Benita Wilke

    (Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA))

Abstract

Zwei Jahre nach der "Riester-Reform" befindet sich die gesetzliche Rentenversicherung in Deutschland wieder in Reformnöten. Die der Riester-Reform zugrunde liegenden Annahmen über Demographie und Arbeitsmarktentwicklung erwiesen sich als unrealistisch. Ein wichtiger Ansatzpunkt für Reformüberlegungen ist die Rentenanpassungsformel, da Modifikationen dieser Formel langfristig relativ große entlastende Wirkungen auf die Rentenfinanzen bewirken können. Dies liegt daran, dass die Rentenanpassungsformel nicht nur die Rentenzugänge, sondern auch den Rentenbestand betrifft. In diesem Papier werden mögliche Alternativen zur aktuellen Rentenanpassungsformel vorgestellt und ihre unterschiedlichen Wirkungen aufgezeigt. Wir untersuchen insbesondere die selbst-stabilisierende Wirkung des so genannten "Nachhaltigkeitsfaktors", der die Anzahl der Leistungsempfänger und die Anzahl der Beitragszahler systemgerecht als Regulierungsgröße in die Rentenanpassungsformel einführt.

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  • Börsch-Supan, Axel & Reil-Held, Anette & Christina Benita Wilke, 2003. "Der Nachhaltigkeitsfaktor und andere Formelmodifikationen zur langfristigen Stabilisierung des Beitragssatzes zur GRV," MEA discussion paper series 03030, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    • Handle: RePEc:mea:meawpa:03030
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Holger Bonin, 2001. "Will it Last? An Assessment of the 2001 German Pension Reform," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 26(4), pages 547-564, October.
    2. Börsch-Supan, Axel & Tito Boeri & Guido Tabellini, 2002. "Would you Like to Reform the Pension System?," MEA discussion paper series 02007, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
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    4. Borsch-Supan, Axel, 2000. "A Model under Siege: A Case Study of the German Retirement Insurance System," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 110(461), pages 24-45, February.
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    6. Berkel, Barbara & Börsch-Supan, Axel, 2003. "Renteneintrittsentscheidungen in Deutschland: Langfristige Auswirkungen verschiedener Reformoptionen," MEA discussion paper series 03031, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    7. Boeri, Tito & Börsch-Supan, Axel & Tabellini, Guido, 2002. "Would you Like to Reform the Pension System? The Opinions of European Citizens," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 02-22, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim;Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
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    Cited by:

    1. Reinhold Schnabel, 2008. "Agenda 2010 und Rentenpolitik: große Erfolge und drohende politische Risiken," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 77(1), pages 98-107.
    2. Essig, Lothar & Reil-Held, Anette, 2004. "Chancen und Risiken der "Riester-Rente"," Papers 04-67, Sonderforschungsbreich 504.
    3. Christian Westermeier & Anika Rasner & Markus M. Grabka, 2012. "The Prospects of the Baby Boomers: Methodological Challenges in Projecting the Lives of an Aging Cohort," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 440, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
    4. Tim Krieger & Sven Stöwhase, 2008. "Diskretionäre rentenpolitische Maßnahmen und die Entwicklung des Rentenwerts in Deutschland von 2003-2008," Working Papers CIE 14, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
    5. Lothar Essig & Anette Reil-Held, 2003. "Chancen und Risiken der "Riester-Renter"," MEA discussion paper series 03035, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    6. Christina Benita Wilke, 2008. "On the feasibility of notional defined contribution systems: The German case," MEA discussion paper series 08165, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    7. Essig, Lothar & Reil-Held, Anette, 2004. "Chancen und Risiken der Riester-Rente," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 04-67, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim;Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
    8. Christina Benita Wilke, 2004. "Ein Simulationsmodell des Rentenversicherungssystems: Konzeption und ausgewählte Anwendungen von MEA-PENSIM," MEA discussion paper series 04048, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    9. Axel Börsch-Supan & Johannes Rausch, 2020. "Coronavirus Pandemic: Effects on Statutory Pension Insurance," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(04), pages 36-43, April.
    10. Ehrentraut, Oliver & Raffelhüschen, Bernd, 2003. "Die Rentenversicherung unter Reformdruck: Ein Drama in drei Akten," Discussion Papers 109, Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg, Institut für Finanzwissenschaft.
    11. Christina Benita Wilke, 2005. "Rates of Return of the German PAYG System - How they can be measured and how they will develop," MEA discussion paper series 05097, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.

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