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Chancen und Risiken der "Riester-Renter"

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  • Lothar Essig

    ()

  • Anette Reil-Held

    ()
    (Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA))

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    Abstract

    Der demographische Wandel stellt die umlagefinanzierte Rentenversicherung in Deutschland vor große Probleme. Deshalb wurde mit der Rentenreform 2001 die Absenkung des gesetzlichen Rentenniveaus beschlossen und dafür die kapitalgedeckte zweite und dritte Säule der Altersvorsorge deutlich gestärkt. Die Einführung der zusätzlichen Altersvorsorge bringt zwei Risiken mit sich, die in dieser Arbeit betrachtet werden. Ein Risiko stellt die Freiwilligkeit der zusätzlichen Altersvorsorge dar. Es ist unsicher, ob die Haushalte – insbesondere die einkommensschwachen – den Willen und/oder die Fähigkeit aufbringen, die zusätzliche Ersparnis für das Alter konsequent durchzuführen. Ein weiteres Risiko der zusätzlichen Altersvorsorge, das gleicher-maßen eine Chance ist, besteht in der Rendite der eingezahlten Beiträge. Kritiker einer kapitalgedeckten Altersvorsorge weisen häufig, gerade in Anbetracht der aktuellen Entwicklung auf dem Kapitalmarkt, auf das dortige Renditerisiko hin. In diesem Papier wird nun der Frage nachgegangen, ob die Haushalte unter diesen Risiken in der Lage sein werden, die durch die Absenkung der gesetzlichen Rente entstehende Versorgungslücke zu schließen, und welche Spielräume bei den Beitragsleistungen vorhanden sind.

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    Paper provided by Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy in its series MEA discussion paper series with number 03035.

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    Date of creation: 29 Aug 2003
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    Handle: RePEc:mea:meawpa:03035

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    References

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    Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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    1. Nicholas Barberis, 2000. "Investing for the Long Run when Returns Are Predictable," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(1), pages 225-264, 02.
    2. Reinhard Hujer & Bernd Fitzenberger & Reinhold Schnabel & Thomas E. MaCurdy, 2001. "Testing for uniform wage trends in West-Germany: A cohort analysis using quantile regressions for censored data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 41-86.
    3. Hans Fehr & Dirk Kiesewetter & Michael Myßen, 2003. "Die Riester-Rente - ein Flop?," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(05), pages 5-14, 03.
    4. Axel Börsch-Supan & Anette Reil-Held & Christina Benita Wilke, 2003. "Der Nachhaltigkeitsfaktor und andere Formelmodifikationen zur langfristigen Stabilisierung des Beitragssatzes zur GRV," MEA discussion paper series 03030, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    5. LeRoy,Stephen F. & Werner,Jan, 2001. "Principles of Financial Economics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521586054.
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    Cited by:
    1. Börsch-Supan, Axel & Ludwig, Alexander & Reil-Held, Anette, 2004. "Projection methods and scenarios for public and private pension information," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 04-61, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim;Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
    2. Axel Börsch-Supan & Lothar Essig, 2005. "Personal assets and pension reform: How well prepared are the Germans?," MEA discussion paper series 05085, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    3. Axel Börsch-Supan & Alexander Ludwig & Anette Reil-Held, 2004. "Hochrechnungsmethoden und Szenarien für gesetzliche und private Renteninformationen," MEA discussion paper series 04049, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.

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