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Can Ambiguity in Electoral Competition be Explained by Projection Effects in Voters' Perceptions?

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Author Info
Thomas Jensen (Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen)
Abstract

Studies in political science and psychology suggest that voters' perceptions of political positions depend on their personal views of the candidates. A voter who likes/dislikes a candidate will perceive his position as closer to/further from his own than it really is (projection). Clearly these effects should be most pronounced when candidate positions are ambiguous. Thus a generally well liked candidate will have an incentive to take an ambiguous position. In this paper we construct a simple model to see under which conditions this incentive survives in the strategic setting of electoral competition, even if voters dislike ambiguity per se.

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Paper provided by University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics in its series Discussion Papers with number 05-25.

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Length: 15 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2005
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Handle: RePEc:kud:kuiedp:0525

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Related research
Keywords: electoral competition ambiguity voter perception cognitive balance projection

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Models of Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search, Learning, and Information
C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Enriqueta Aragonés & Andrew Postlewaite, 1999. "Ambiguity in Election Games," Economics Working Papers 364, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra. [Downloadable!]
  2. Alesina, Alberto & Cukierman, Alex, 1990. "The Politics of Ambiguity," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 105(4), pages 829-50, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Enriqueta Aragones & Zvika Neeman, 1994. "Strategic Ambiguity in Electoral Competition," Discussion Papers 1083, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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