Poverty Traps and Business Cycles in a Stochastic Overlapping Generations Economy with S-shaped Law of Motion
AbstractThis paper contributes to the understanding of stochastic economic dynamics with S-shaped law of motion. Applying random dynamical systems theory, we obtain a complete analysis of a stochastic OLG growth model. In the long-run the economy converges either to a state with no capital (poverty trap) or a sample path of a random fixed point (business cycle). The threshold capital stock separating both regimes is a random variable that depends on the future realization of the shocks; this critical level cannot be identified using past observations. Supply of outside capital therefore has an uncertain effect. Policy recommendations are given which cannot be obtained employing Markov equilibria. A numerical illustration is provided.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics in its series Discussion Papers with number 02-13.
Length: 15 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2002
Date of revision:
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More information through EDIRC
S-shaped stochastic law of motion; random dynamical systems; poverty traps; business cycles; production shocks;
Other versions of this item:
- Schenk-Hoppe, Klaus Reiner, 2005. "Poverty traps and business cycles in a stochastic overlapping generations economy with S-shaped law of motion," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 275-288, June.
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
- D91 - Microeconomics - - Intertemporal Choice - - - Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
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