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The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle or Paradox after 44 Years: A Fallacy of Composition

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  • Charles Yuji Horioka

    (Research Institute for Economics and Business Administration, Kobe University, Asian Growth Research Institute, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University, JAPAN, School of Economics, University of the Philippines, Diliman, PHILIPPINES, and National Bureau of Economic Research, JAPAN)

Abstract

The finding of Feldstein and Horioka (1980) that domestic saving and domestic investment are highly correlated across countries despite the rapid globalization and liberalization of financial markets in recent decades has been regarded as a Puzzle or Paradox. However, in this paper, we show that countries as a whole may not be able to transfer their capital abroad and that the Feldstein-Horioka Finding of domestic saving and domestic investment being highly correlated across countries may arise even if there are no frictions in financial markets and even if individual investors can freely transfer their capital abroad if there are frictions in goods markets such as transport costs, tariffs, nontariff barriers, the cost of regulatory compliance, etc. In fact, there is evidence that frictions in goods markets are a more serious impediment to countries as a whole being able to transfer their capital abroad than frictions in financial markets, especially in the short run.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles Yuji Horioka, 2024. "The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle or Paradox after 44 Years: A Fallacy of Composition," Discussion Paper Series DP2024-03, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    • Handle: RePEc:kob:dpaper:dp2024-03
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Charles Yuji Horioka & Akiko Terada-Hagiwara & Takaaki Nomoto, 2016. "Explaining Foreign Holdings of Asia's Debt Securities: The Feldstein–Horioka Paradox Revisited-super-," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 30(1), pages 3-24, March.
    2. Mariam Camarero & Alejandro Muñoz & Cecilio Tamarit, 2021. "50 Years of Capital Mobility in the Eurozone: Breaking the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(5), pages 867-905, November.
    3. Lapp, Susanne, 1996. "The Feldstein-Horioka paradox: A selective survey of the literature," Kiel Working Papers 752, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Abdul Abiad & Ashoka Mody, 2005. "Financial Reform: What Shakes It? What Shapes It?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 66-88, March.
    5. Eaton, Jonathan & Kortum, Samuel & Neiman, Brent, 2016. "Obstfeld and Rogoff׳s international macro puzzles: a quantitative assessment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 5-23.
    6. Coakley, Jerry & Kulasi, Farida & Smith, Ron, 1998. "The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle and Capital Mobility: A Review," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(2), pages 169-188, April.
    7. Abdul Abiad & Ashoka Mody, 2005. "Financial Reform: What Shakes It? What Shapes It?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 66-88, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital controls; Fallacy of composition; Feldstein-Horioka finding; Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle or Paradox; Frictions in financial markets; Frictions in goods markets; Global interest rate; Globalization and liberalization of financial markets; Interest parity; Interest rate equalization; International capital flows; International capital mobility; Saving-investment correlations; Saving retention coefficient; Trade costs; Trade frictions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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