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Fiscal Multipliers and Institutions in Peru: Getting the Largest Bang for the Sol

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  • Svetlana Vtyurina
  • Zulima Leal

Abstract

With the end of the commodity super cycle, Peru’s potential growth has declined, raising questions of what government policies could do to help boost growth, including over the medium-term. Our econometric analysis shows that public investment multipliers have a larger effect on growth than current spending or tax-related stimulus in the short and medium terms. Peru’s low debt and financial savings grants fiscal space for increasing investment spending, which could also entice and complement private investment, provided the former is efficient, fiscally sustainable and complemented by further reforms in public investment management and changes to the decentralization framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Svetlana Vtyurina & Zulima Leal, 2016. "Fiscal Multipliers and Institutions in Peru: Getting the Largest Bang for the Sol," IMF Working Papers 2016/144, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2016/144
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Waldo Mendoza Bellido & Erika Collantes Goicochea, 2018. "The Determinants of Private Investment in a Mining Export Economy. Peru: 1997-2017," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2018-463, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    2. International Monetary Fund, 2018. "Uruguay: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2018/024, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Jiménez, Alvaro & Rodríguez, Gabriel & Ataurima Arellano, Miguel, 2023. "Time-varying impact of fiscal shocks over GDP growth in Peru: An empirical application using hybrid TVP-VAR-SV models," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 314-332.
    4. Jorge Restrepo, 2020. "How Big are Fiscal Multipliers in Latin America?," IMF Working Papers 2020/017, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Alexander Meléndez Holguín & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2023. "Evolution over time of the effects of fiscal shocks in the peruvian economy: empirical application using TVP-VAR-SV models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2023-516, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    6. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. Antonio David & Mr. Daniel Leigh, 2018. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation in Emerging Economies: Evidence from Latin America," IMF Working Papers 2018/142, International Monetary Fund.

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