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Emerging Economy Business Cycles: Financial Integration and Terms of Trade Shocks

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  • Rudrani Bhattacharya
  • Ila Patnaik
  • Madhavi Pundit

Abstract

This paper analyses the extent to which financial integration impacts the manner in which terms of trade affect business cycles in emerging economies. Using a s mall open economy model, we show that as capital account openness increases in an economy that faces trade shocks, business cycle volatility reduces. For an economy with limited financial openness, and a relatively open trade account, a model with exogenous terms of trade shocks is able to replicate the features of the business cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Rudrani Bhattacharya & Ila Patnaik & Madhavi Pundit, 2013. "Emerging Economy Business Cycles: Financial Integration and Terms of Trade Shocks," IMF Working Papers 2013/119, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2013/119
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    2. Nyang`oro Owen, 2017. "Working Paper 285 - Capital Inflows and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Paper Series 2409, African Development Bank.
    3. Jalali Naini, Ahmad Reza & Naderian, Mohammad Amin, 2017. "Financial Vulnerability and Stabilization Policy in Commodity Exporting Emerging Economies," MPRA Paper 84481, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Ghate, Chetan & Gopalakrishnan, Pawan & Tarafdar, Suchismita, 2016. "Fiscal policy in an emerging market business cycle model," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 14(PA), pages 52-77.
    5. Hüseyin Taştan & Bekir Aşık, 2014. "A Bayesian Estimation of Real Business-Cycle Models for the Turkish Economy," Ekonomi-tek - International Economics Journal, Turkish Economic Association, vol. 3(2), pages 27-50, May.
    6. Adegbemi Babatunde Onakoya & Adedotun Victor Seyingbo, 2017. "Financial Markets Integration: Appraising the Developed and Emerging Markets Nexus," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 613-624.
    7. Saif Al-Abri, Almukhtar, 2014. "How does terms-of-trade behavior shape international financial integration in primary-commodity exporting economies?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 335-353.
    8. Aparna Bhatia & Siya Tuli, 2017. "Sustainability Reporting under G3 Guidelines: A Study on Constituents of Bovespa Index," Vision, , vol. 21(2), pages 204-213, June.
    9. Erauskin, Iñaki & Gardeazabal, Javier, 2017. "The terms of trade, the external balance, and the size of the net foreign asset position," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 245-260.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; Macroeconomics; real business cycles; emerging market DSGE models; volatility; terms of trade; terms of trade shock; business cycle volatility; terms of trade fluctuation; terms of trade volatility; net barter terms of trade; volatility decrease; tot shock; current account volatility; a number of emerging economies; Financial integration; Trade balance; Business cycles; Current account; Africa; East Asia; Global;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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