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Determinants of Corporate Investment in China: Evidence From Cross-Country Firm Level Data

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  • Ms. Nan Geng
  • Mr. Papa M N'Diaye

Abstract

This paper analyzes the evolution of investment in China, its main features, and its key determinants. In recent years, manufacturing, real estate, and infrastructure have been the main drivers of investment. Investment remains largely concentrated in coastal areas, but there has been a shift to greater investments inland in recent years. The empirical analysis of the determinants of investment indicates that financial variables, such as interest rates, the exchange rate, and the depth of the domestic capital market are important determinants of corporate investment. The results suggest in particular that financial sector reform, including that which deregulates and raises real interest rates as well as appreciates the real effective exchange rate, would lower investment and help rebalance growth away from exports and investment toward private consumption.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Nan Geng & Mr. Papa M N'Diaye, 2012. "Determinants of Corporate Investment in China: Evidence From Cross-Country Firm Level Data," IMF Working Papers 2012/080, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2012/080
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. He, Wei & Kyaw, NyoNyo A., 2018. "Ownership structure and investment decisions of Chinese SOEs," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 48-57.
    2. Tang, Ya & Xu, Jianguo & Zhang, Xun, 2017. "China's investment and rate of return on capital revisited," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 12-25.
    3. Zibei Chen & Minchao Jin, 2017. "Financial Inclusion in China: Use of Credit," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 38(4), pages 528-540, December.
    4. Hadeel Yaseen & Ghassan Omet & Morad Abdel-Halim, 2015. "The 2008 Global Financial Crisis: The Case of a Market with Consistent Losses Ever Since," Eurasian Journal of Business and Management, Eurasian Publications, vol. 3(1), pages 8-19.
    5. Mr. Il Houng Lee & Mr. Murtaza H Syed & Mr. Liu Xueyan, 2012. "Is China Over-Investing and Does it Matter?," IMF Working Papers 2012/277, International Monetary Fund.
    6. M. Albert & C. Jude & C. Rebillard, 2015. "The Long Landing Scenario: Rebalancing from Overinvestment and Excessive Credit Growth. Implications for Potential Growth in China," Working papers 572, Banque de France.
    7. Yu, Zhuangxiong & Zhang, Jie & Li, Jie, 2020. "Does going public imply short-termism in investment behavior? Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    8. Bing Chen & Li Li & Fei Peng & Ruhul Salim, 2020. "Risk contagion in the cross‐border banking network: Some new evidence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(3), pages 475-495, July.
    9. Saba Mushtaq & Danish Ahmed Siddiqui, 2016. "Effect of interest rate on economic performance: evidence from Islamic and non-Islamic economies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 2(1), pages 1-14, December.
    10. Du, Julan & Li, Chang & Wang, Yongqin, 2023. "Shadow banking of non-financial firms: Arbitrage between formal and informal credit markets in China," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    11. Shabnam Sazma Bano, 2018. "The Dynamic Relationship between Real Interest Rate and Investment: An Empirical Analysis for Selected Pacific Island Countries," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(5), pages 131-141.
    12. Cao, Jerry & Julio, Brandon & Leng, Tiecheng & Zhou, Sili, 2016. "Political Turnover, Ownership, and Corporate Investment," RIEI Working Papers 2016-06, Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Research Institute for Economic Integration.
    13. Zhang, Xun & Wan, Guanghua & Luo, Zhi & Wang, Chen, 2019. "Explaining the East Asia miracle: The role of urbanization," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 1-1.
    14. Faris Alshubiri, 2022. "The Impact of the Real Interest Rate, the Exchange Rate and Political Stability on Foreign Direct Investment Inflows: A Comparative Analysis of G7 and GCC Countries," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(3), pages 569-603, September.
    15. Rahul Anand & Mr. Volodymyr Tulin, 2014. "Disentangling India’s Investment Slowdown," IMF Working Papers 2014/047, International Monetary Fund.

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