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Patterns of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets: A Theoretical Perspective

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  • Zhaohui Chen
  • Mr. Mohsin S. Khan

Abstract

This paper reviews some of the basic patterns of international capital flows to emerging markets in recent years, including the composition of capital flows, intraregional flow patterns, and the geographical distribution of the flows. A theoretical model that sheds new light on these observed patterns is developed. This model focuses on the cost of financing aspect of capital flows, and shows that the patterns of capital flows are influenced by the combined effects of financial market development and growth potential in the recipient countries. The theoretical predictions of the model are shown to be consistent with the stylized facts.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhaohui Chen & Mr. Mohsin S. Khan, 1997. "Patterns of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets: A Theoretical Perspective," IMF Working Papers 1997/013, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1997/013
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Stewart C. Myers & Nicholas S. Majluf, 1984. "Corporate Financing and Investment Decisions When Firms Have InformationThat Investors Do Not Have," NBER Working Papers 1396, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Myers, Stewart C. & Majluf, Nicholas S., 1984. "Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 187-221, June.
    4. Dybvig, Philip H & Zender, Jaime F, 1991. "Capital Structure and Dividend Irrelevance with Asymmetric Information," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 4(1), pages 201-219.
    5. Ms. Carmen Reinhart & Mr. Mohsin S. Khan, 1995. "Capital Flows in the APEC Region," IMF Occasional Papers 1995/015, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Khan, Mohsin S & Mathieson, Donald J, 1996. "The Implications of International Capital Flows for Macroeconomic and Financial Policies," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 1(3), pages 155-160, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Rashmi Banga, 2003. "Impact of government policies and investment agreements on FDI inflows," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi Working Papers 116, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi, India.
    2. Mr. Alejandro Lopez Mejia, 1999. "Large Capital Flows: A Survey of the Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses," IMF Working Papers 1999/017, International Monetary Fund.
    3. He, Qing & Korhonen, Iikka & Guo, Junjie & Liu, Fangge, 2016. "The geographic distribution of international currencies and RMB internationalization," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 442-458.
    4. Jorge A. Chan-Lau & Zhaohui Chen, 1998. "Financial Crisis and Credit Crunch as a Result of Inefficient Financial Intermediation—with Reference to the Asian Financial Crisis," International Finance 9804001, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 22 Sep 1998.
    5. Assaf Razin & Efraim Sadka & Chi-Wa Yuen, 1998. "Capital Flows with Debt-And Equity-Financed Invesment: Equilibrium Structure and Efficiency Implications," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 136, Universidad del CEMA.
    6. Swati Ghosh & Holger Wolf, 2000. "Is There a Curse of Location? Spatial Determinants of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Flows and the Emerging Economies: Theory, Evidence, and Controversies, pages 137-156, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Shinji Takagi & Taro Esaka, 2001. "Sterilization and the Capital Inflow Problem in East Asia, 1987-97," NBER Chapters, in: Regional and Global Capital Flows: Macroeconomic Causes and Consequences, pages 197-226, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Razin, Assaf & Sadka, Efraim & Yuen, Chi-WA, 1997. "Channelling Domestic Savings Into Productive Investment Under Asymmetric Information: The Essential Role of Foreign Direct Investment," Foerder Institute for Economic Research Working Papers 275630, Tel-Aviv University > Foerder Institute for Economic Research.
    9. Mr. Mark S. Carlson & Mr. Leonardo Hernández, 2002. "Determinants and Repercussions of the Composition of Capital Inflows," IMF Working Papers 2002/086, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Serge Jeanneau & Marian Micu, 2002. "Determinants of international bank lending to emerging market countries," BIS Working Papers 112, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Timm Betz & Andrew Kerner, 2016. "The influence of interest: Real US interest rates and bilateral investment treaties," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 419-448, December.
    12. Hunter, Delroy M., 2006. "The evolution of stock market integration in the post-liberalization period - A look at Latin America," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 795-826, August.
    13. Conterius, Simeon & Akimov, Alexandr & Su, Jen-Je & Roca, Eduardo, 2023. "Do foreign investors have a positive impact on the domestic government bonds market? A panel pooled mean group approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 863-875.
    14. repec:zbw:bofitp:2015_020 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão & Araújo, Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos, 2002. "Foreign funding to an emerging market: the Monetary Premium Theory and the Brazilian Case, 1991 - 1998," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 459, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    16. Travis G. Coan & Tadeusz Kugler, 2012. "All Foreign Direct Investment Is Local: Indian Provincial Politics and the Attraction of FDI," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 13(1), pages 27-50, March.
    17. Razin, Assaf & Sadka, Efraim & Yuen, Chi-WA, 1997. "Channelling Domestic Savings Into Productive Investment Under Asymmetric Information: The Essential Role of Foreign Direct Investment," Foerder Institute for Economic Research Working Papers 275630, Tel-Aviv University > Foerder Institute for Economic Research.
    18. Claudia M. Buch, 2002. "Are Banks Different? Evidence from International Data," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(1), pages 97-114.
    19. repec:bof:bofitp:urn:nbn:fi:bof-201506101281 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. He, Qing & Korhonen, Iikka & Guo, Junjie & Liu, Fangge, 2016. "The geographic distribution of international currencies and RMB internationalization," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 442-458.
    21. Assaf Razin & Efraim Sadka & Chi-Wa Yuen, 2001. "Why International Equity Inflows to Emerging Markets are Inefficient and Small Relative to International Debt Flows," NBER Working Papers 8659, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. repec:zbw:bofitp:urn:nbn:fi:bof-201506101281 is not listed on IDEAS
    23. Mohsin S. Khan, 1998. "Capital Flows to Developing Countries: Blessing or Curse?," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 37(4), pages 125-151.
    24. Javier Díaz-Cassou & Alicia García-Herrero & Luis Molina, 2006. "What kind of capital flows does the IMF catalyze and when?," Working Papers 0617, Banco de España.
    25. Levent, Korap & Özgür, Aslan, 2007. "Exogenous characteristics of short-term capital flows: can they be under control? evidence from Turkey," MPRA Paper 19504, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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