Financial Crisis and Credit Crunch as a Result of Inefficient Financial Intermediation—with Reference to the Asian Financial Crisis
AbstractThis paper develops a new model of international private debt financing. It shows the possibility of discontinuity in the amount of financial intermediation when the intermediary is inefficient. The model suggests a mechanism that can generate the following sequence of events: A period of relatively low capital flow despite a steady improvement in economic fundamentals (capital inflow inertia), followed by a fast buildup of capital inflow, and ended with a large capital outflow (crisis), as observed in the recent Asian financial crisis. In addition, there exists a minimum level of economic fundamental strength that can sustain large capital inflows. If the fundamental strength is not far above this minimum level, the economy will be vulnerable to shifts in market sentiment and to even a small deterioration of fundamentals. We use comparative statics to evaluate the pros and cons of various policy responses to the crisis.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by EconWPA in its series International Finance with number 9804001.
Length: 23 pages
Date of creation: 21 Apr 1998
Date of revision: 24 Apr 1998
Note: Type of Document - Postscript/Acrobat PDF; prepared on IBM PC using MiKTeX 1.10; to print on HP Laser Jet; pages: 23 ; figures:2 included. Postscript version prepared using dvips5.76, pdf version prepared from postscript version with ps2pdf.
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Financial crisis; Asian crisis; credit crunch; financial intermediary; capital flow; capital inflow inertia;
Other versions of this item:
- Zhaohui Chen & Jorge A. Chan-Lau, 1998. "Financial Crisis and Credit Crunch as a Result of Inefficient Financial Intermediation - with Reference to the Asian Financial Crisis," IMF Working Papers 98/127, International Monetary Fund.
- E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
- F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
- G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-1998-10-02 (All new papers)
- NEP-FMK-1998-10-08 (Financial Markets)
- NEP-IFN-1998-10-02 (International Finance)
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