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Massive Civilian Displacement in Civil War: Assessing Variation in Colombia

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Author Info
Abbey Steele () (Yale University)
Abstract

The displacement of civilians is a frequent, yet understudied, outcome of armed groups’ and civilians' behavior during civil wars. In particular, I find that displacement as a strategy of armed groups is an especially undeveloped area of study, and argue that a focus on mass displacements as the dependent variable can provide leverage for explaining variation in outcomes over time and across space. I suggest that three sets of factors explain the variation: armed groups’ goals, competition among armed groups, and community governance mechanisms. After outlining the theory and hypotheses, I consider the implications of the approach for appropriate units of analysis. With data on displacement in the Colombian civil war, I use both events of massive displacement and municipal population flows as indicators of the dependent variable to consider the plausibility of the framework’s empirical implications. Finally, I propose additional qualitative, micro-level research strategies to enable tests of the mechanisms underlying the theory.

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Paper provided by Households in Conflict Network in its series HiCN Working Papers with number 29.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2007
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Handle: RePEc:hic:wpaper:29

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Patricia Neira, 2004. "Desplazamiento Forzoso En Soacha ¿Se Recuperan Los Desplazados Del Choque Inicial?," DOCUMENTOS CEDE 002298, UNIVERSIDAD DE LOS ANDES-CEDE. [Downloadable!]
  2. Klaus Deininger & Ana María Ibáñez & Pablo Querubin, 2004. "Towards Sustainable Return Policies for the Displaced Population: Why Are Some Displaced Households More Willing to Return than Others?," HiCN Working Papers 07, Households in Conflict Network. [Downloadable!]
  3. Patricia Neira, 2004. "Desplazamiento Forzoso En Soacha ¿Se Recuperan Los Desplazados Del Choque Inicial?," DOCUMENTOS CEDE 002299, UNIVERSIDAD DE LOS ANDES-CEDE. [Downloadable!]
  4. Fabio SANCHEZ TORRES & Ana María DIAZ & Michel FORNISANO, 2003. "Conflicto, violencia y actividad criminal en Colombia: Un análisis espacial," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 002185, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Azam, Jean-Paul & Hoeffler, Anke, 2001. "Violence Against Civilians in Civil Wars: Looting or Terror?," Working Papers UNU-WIDER Research Paper , World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER). [Downloadable!]
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