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Adapting a participatory modelling method to forecast food system scenarios: a case study on the pork value-chain

Author

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  • Romy Lynn Chaib

    (UMR ITAP - Technologies et Méthodes pour les Agricultures de demain - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement)

  • Catherine Macombe

    (UMR ITAP - Technologies et Méthodes pour les Agricultures de demain - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement)

  • Rallou Thomopoulos

    (UMR IATE - Ingénierie des Agro-polymères et Technologies Émergentes - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement - UM - Université de Montpellier)

Abstract

For a value-chain to be sustainable, the main challenge is sometimes its durability. When stakeholders are lost in the shifting maze of economic, social and environmental issues, participatory foresight methods help them consider the options and choose a strategy to follow. The aim is to create several scenarios of evolution of the value-chain and select desirable scenarios. Because of the global context in 2020 and 2021, implementing methodological and organizational adaptations in the classic "scenario method" from Michel Godet was necessary. These adaptations are exemplified by the case study of the prospective for the French pork value-chain in the next 5 years. Indeed, this value-chain touches particularly on certain contemporary concerns, with much discussion about its environmental footprint, its human resource challenge and its social acceptability, as is the case for most food value-chains in developed countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Romy Lynn Chaib & Catherine Macombe & Rallou Thomopoulos, 2022. "Adapting a participatory modelling method to forecast food system scenarios: a case study on the pork value-chain," Post-Print lirmm-04179722, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:lirmm-04179722
    DOI: 10.3280/ecag2022oa14488
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal-lirmm.ccsd.cnrs.fr/lirmm-04179722
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Krystyna Stave & Birgit Kopainsky, 2015. "A system dynamics approach for examining mechanisms and pathways of food supply vulnerability," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 5(3), pages 321-336, September.
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    Keywords

    Agri-Food Chain; Prospective Analysis; Scenario Method; Collective Modelling; Adaptation to Pandemic;
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