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La Chine : avenir du découplage asiatique ?

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  • Catherine Figuière

    ()
    (LEPII - Laboratoire d'Économie de la Production et de l'Intégration Internationale - CNRS : UMR5252 - Université Pierre Mendès-France - Grenoble II)

  • Laëtitia Guilhot

    ()
    (LEPII - Laboratoire d'Économie de la Production et de l'Intégration Internationale - CNRS : UMR5252 - Université Pierre Mendès-France - Grenoble II)

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    Abstract

    L'Asie Orientale est aujourd'hui engagée dans un processus d'intégration économique régionale. Elle regroupe désormais les dix pays de l'ASEAN (Association des Nations d'Asie du Sud Est), auxquels viennent s'ajouter la Chine, le Japon et la Corée du Sud (ASEAN + 3). La thèse défendue ici repose sur les limites actuelles de ce processus qui ne permet pas (encore) à l'Asie d'être protégée des aléas des conjonctures occidentales. Après avoir analysé l'impact de la crise qui démarre en août 2007 aux Etats-Unis pour se diffuser à partir de septembre 2008, sur les pays d'Asie Orientale, cette communication montrera que la "triangularisation" des échanges semble difficilement contournable à court ou moyen terme du fait de l'hétérogénéité des niveaux de développement des pays asiatiques. Le découplage réel s'avère donc difficile à envisager à court terme. Par ailleurs, les variétés de développement expliquent également les disparités entre les systèmes financiers nationaux ce qui rend plus difficile l'analyse de l'éventualité d'un découplage financier et ce qui éclaire que la plupart des pays asiatiques aient été touchés par la crise plus tardivement (par le réel et non directement par le financier, contrairement au Japon).

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number halshs-00456498.

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    Date of creation: 09 Feb 2010
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    Publication status: Published - Presented, Colloque "La crise : trois ans après quels enseignements ?", Université Blaise Pascal, IUFM Auvergne, Laboratoire Processus d'Action des Enseignants : Déterminants et Impacts, 2010, Chamalières, France
    Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00456498

    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00456498/en/
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    Related research

    Keywords: crise économique ; crise financière ; intégration économique ; intégration régionale ; échange international ; système financier ; Asie orientale;

    References

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    1. Lee, Chee Sung & Park, Cyn-Young, 2009. "Beyond the Crisis: Financial Regulatory Reform in Emerging Asia," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 34, Asian Development Bank.
    2. Adams, Charles & Park, Donghyun, 2009. "Causes and Consequences of Global Imbalances: Perspective from Developing Asia," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 157, Asian Development Bank.
    3. Kim, Soyoung & Lee, Jong-Wha & Park, Cyn-Young, 2009. "Emerging Asia: Decoupling or Recoupling," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 31, Asian Development Bank.
    4. Rigg, Robert & Schou-Zibell, Lotte, 2009. "The Financial Crisis and Money Markets in Emerging Asia," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 38, Asian Development Bank.
    5. E. James, William, 2009. "US International Trade and the Global Economic Crisis," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 179, Asian Development Bank.
    6. Françoise Lemoine & Deniz Ünal-Kesenci, 2002. "China in the International Segmentation of Production Processes," Working Papers 2002-02, CEPII research center.
    7. Soyoung Kim & Jong‐Wha Lee, 2012. "Real and Financial Integration in East Asia," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(2), pages 332-349, 05.
    8. Adams , Charles & Park, Donghyun, 2009. "Causes and Consequences of Global Imbalances: Perspective from Developing Asia," Asian Development Review, Asian Development Bank, vol. 26(1), pages 19-47.
    9. Lee, Jong-Wha & Park, Cyn-Young, 2008. "Global Financial Turmoil: Impact and Challenges for Asia's Financial Systems," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 18, Asian Development Bank.
    10. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:30:y:2010:i:1:p:282-291 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Yu Yongding, 2010. "Asia: China's Policy Responses to the Global Financial Crisis," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 1(1), pages 1-10, January.
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