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Grain Price Fluctuations and Witch Hunting in Bavaria

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Author Info
Jörg Baten
Ulrich Woitek

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Abstract

Based on the data set of Behringer (1997), we develop and test competing models of the determinants of witch hunting in Bavaria in the period 1345-1750, which explain the cyclicity as well as the variation over time from the 14th to the 18th century. Our main focus is on economic factors and their influence on the intensity of prosecution. We analyse this issue by quantifying the importance of grain price fluctuations for the frequency of witch trials/accusations, taking into account other possible explanations like the impact of confession and regional characteristics.

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Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of Glasgow in its series Working Papers with number 2001_9.

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Date of creation: Mar 2001
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Handle: RePEc:gla:glaewp:2001_9

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Web page: http://www.gla.ac.uk/departments/economics/

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  1. Bauernfeind, Walter & Woitek, Ulrich, 1996. "Agrarian Cycles in Germany 1339-1670: A Spectral Analysis of Grain Prices and Output in Nuremberg," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 459-478, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Cameron, A. Colin & Trivedi, Pravin K., 1990. "Regression-based tests for overdispersion in the Poisson model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 347-364, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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