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Short- and Long-Term Unemployment: How do Temporary Layoffs Affect this Distinction?

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Author Info

  • Jensen, P.
  • Nielsen, M.S.

Abstract

In this paper, we compare two different types of models for the duration of unemployment spells: the multiple phase duration model and the competing risks model. Both models allow for non-proportionality of the effect of the explanatory variables on the hazard function. The two models are applied to Danish unemployment data containing a large fraction of temporary layoffs. The econometric analysis shows that the results from the multiple phase duration model are contaminated by the presence of temporary layoffs. the multiple phase duration model should therefore be applied with care in order to avoid misinterpretations of the results.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Centre for Labour Market and Social Research, Danmark- in its series Papers with number 99-06.

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Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: 1999
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fth:clmsre:99-06

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Postal: Danmark; Centre for Labour Market and Social Research. Science Park Aarhus Wieds Vej 10C, 8000 Aarhus C, Danmark
Phone: +45 8942 2350
Fax: +45 8942 2365
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Web page: http://www.cls.dk/
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Keywords: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS ; UNEMPLOYMENT ; ECONOMIC MODELS;

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Cited by:
  1. Alfonso Alba-Ramirez & Jose Maria Arranz Muñoz & Fernando Muñoz-Bullon, 2006. "Unemployment Duration, Unemployment Benefits And Recalls," Business Economics Working Papers wb066218, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía de la Empresa.
  2. Roed,K. & Nordberg,M., 2001. "Temporary layoffs and the duration of unemployment," Memorandum 12/2001, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
  3. Svarer, Michael & Rosholm, Michael & Munch, Jacob Roland, . "Rent Control and Unemployment Duration," Economics Working Papers 2003-11, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
  4. Anne Lauringson, 2011. "Disincentive effects of unemployment insurance benefits: maximum benefit duration versus benefit level," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 11(1), pages 25-50, July.
  5. Néria Rodréguez-Planas, 2011. "Displacement, Signaling, and Recall Expectations," Working Papers 550, Barcelona Graduate School of Economics.
  6. Alba-Ramirez, Alfonso & Arranz, Jose M. & Munoz-Bullon, Fernando, 2007. "Exits from unemployment: Recall or new job," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 788-810, October.
  7. Miguel A. Malo & Fernando Munoz-Bullon, 2008. "Working career progress in the tourism industry: Temp-to-perm transitions in Spain," Business Economics Working Papers wb083510, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía de la Empresa.
  8. Michael Rosholm & Michael Svarer & Bo Hammer, 2004. "A Danish Profiling System," Economics Working Papers 2004-13, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
  9. Staghøj, Jonas & Svarer, Michael & Rosholm, Michael, 2007. "A Statistical Programme Assignment Model," IZA Discussion Papers 3165, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  10. Danacica, Daniela Emanuela & Cirnu, Doru, 2014. "Unemployment Duration and Exit States of Disabled People in Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 35-52, March.

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