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Short- and Long-Term Unemployment: How do Temporary Layoffs Affect this Distinction?

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Author Info
Jensen, P.
Nielsen, M.S.

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Abstract

In this paper, we compare two different types of models for the duration of unemployment spells: the multiple phase duration model and the competing risks model. Both models allow for non-proportionality of the effect of the explanatory variables on the hazard function. The two models are applied to Danish unemployment data containing a large fraction of temporary layoffs. The econometric analysis shows that the results from the multiple phase duration model are contaminated by the presence of temporary layoffs. the multiple phase duration model should therefore be applied with care in order to avoid misinterpretations of the results.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Centre for Labour Market and Social Research, Danmark- in its series Papers with number 99-06.

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Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: 1999
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fth:clmsre:99-06

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Postal: Danmark; Centre for Labour Market and Social Research. Science Park Aarhus Wieds Vej 10C, 8000 Aarhus C, Danmark
Phone: +45 8942 2350
Fax: +45 8942 2365
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Web page: http://www.cls.dk/
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Related research
Keywords: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS ; UNEMPLOYMENT ; ECONOMIC MODELS;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis
J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

Cited by:
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  1. Michael Rosholm & Michael Svarer & Bo Hammer, 2004. "A Danish Profiling System," CAM Working Papers 2004-22, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Centre for Applied Microeconometrics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Miguel A. Malo & Fernando Munoz-Bullon, 2008. "Working career progress in the tourism industry: Temp-to-perm transitions in Spain," Business Economics Working Papers wb083510, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía de la Empresa. [Downloadable!]
  3. Michael Rosholm & Jonas Staghøj & Michael Svarer, 2007. "A Statistical Programme Assignment Model," Economics Working Papers 2007-16, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Roed,K. & Nordberg,M., 2001. "Temporary layoffs and the duration of unemployment," Memorandum 12/2001, Oslo University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Alfonso Alba-Ramirez & Jose Maria Arranz Muñoz & Fernando Muñoz-Bullon, 2006. "Unemployment Duration, Unemployment Benefits And Recalls," Business Economics Working Papers wb066218, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía de la Empresa. [Downloadable!]
  6. Alfonso Alba Ramirez & Jose Maria Arranz-Munoz & Fernando Munoz-Bullon, 2006. "Exits from unemployment: recall or new job," Business Economics Working Papers wb060301, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía de la Empresa. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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