In this paper, we compare two different types of models for the duration of unemployment spells: the multiple phase duration model and the competing risks model. Both models allow for non-proportionality of the effect of the explanatory variables on the hazard function. The two models are applied to Danish unemployment data containing a large fraction of temporary layoffs. The econometric analysis shows that the results from the multiple phase duration model are contaminated by the presence of temporary layoffs. the multiple phase duration model should therefore be applied with care in order to avoid misinterpretations of the results.
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Paper provided by Centre for Labour Market and Social Research, Danmark- in its series Papers with number
99-06.
Length: 29 pages Date of creation: 1999 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:fth:clmsre:99-06
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Find related papers by JEL classification: C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
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Michael Rosholm & Michael Svarer & Bo Hammer, 2004.
"A Danish Profiling System,"
CAM Working Papers
2004-22, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Centre for Applied Microeconometrics.
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