Short- and Long-Term Unemployment: How do Temporary Layoffs Affect this Distinction?
AbstractIn this paper, we compare two different types of models for the duration of unemployment spells: the multiple phase duration model and the competing risks model. Both models allow for non-proportionality of the effect of the explanatory variables on the hazard function. The two models are applied to Danish unemployment data containing a large fraction of temporary layoffs. The econometric analysis shows that the results from the multiple phase duration model are contaminated by the presence of temporary layoffs. the multiple phase duration model should therefore be applied with care in order to avoid misinterpretations of the results.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Centre for Labour Market and Social Research, Danmark- in its series Papers with number 99-06.
Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: 1999
Date of revision:
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Postal: Danmark; Centre for Labour Market and Social Research. Science Park Aarhus Wieds Vej 10C, 8000 Aarhus C, Danmark
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STATISTICAL ANALYSIS ; UNEMPLOYMENT ; ECONOMIC MODELS;
Other versions of this item:
- Peter Jensen & Michael Svarer, 2003. "Short- and long-term unemployment: How do temporary layoffs affect this distinction?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 23-44, January.
- C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
- J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
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