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The Method of Simulated Scores for Estimating Multinormal Regression Models with Missing Values

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Given a set of continuous variables with missing data, we prove in this paper that the iterative application of a simple “least-squares estimation/multivariate normal simulation” procedure produces an efficient parameters estimator. There are two main assumptions behind our proof: (1) the missing data mechanism is ignorable; (2) the data generating process is a multivariate normal linear regression. Disentangling the iterative procedure and its convergence conditions, we show that the estimator is a “method of simulated scores” (a particular case of McFadden’s “method of simulated moments”), thus equivalent to maximum likelihood if the number of replications is conveniently large. We thus provide a non-Bayesian re-interpretation of the estimation/simulation problem. The computational procedure is obtained introducing a simple modification into existing algorithms. Its software implementation is straightforward (few simple statements in any programming language) and easily applicable to datasets with large number of variables.

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  • Giorgio Calzolari & Laura Neri, 2010. "The Method of Simulated Scores for Estimating Multinormal Regression Models with Missing Values," Econometrics Working Papers Archive wp2010_01, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
  • Handle: RePEc:fir:econom:wp2010_01
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    1. McFadden, Daniel, 1989. "A Method of Simulated Moments for Estimation of Discrete Response Models without Numerical Integration," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(5), pages 995-1026, September.
    2. Horton N. J. & Lipsitz S. R., 2001. "Multiple Imputation in Practice: Comparison of Software Packages for Regression Models With Missing Variables," The American Statistician, American Statistical Association, vol. 55, pages 244-254, August.
    3. Pollock, D. S. G., 2003. "Recursive estimation in econometrics," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 37-75, October.
    4. Vassilis A. Hajivassiliou, 1991. "Simulation Estimation Methods for Limited Dependent Variable Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1007, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    5. Bianchi, Carlo & Calzolari, Giorgio & Corsi, Paolo, 1978. "A Program for Stochastic Simulation of Econometric Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 235-236, January.
    6. Vassilis A. Hajivassiliou & Daniel McFadden, 1990. "The Method of Simulated Scores for the Estimation of LDV Models with an Application to External Debt Crisis," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 967, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    7. Paul Kofman & Ian G. Sharpe, 2003. "Using Multiple Imputation in the Analysis of Incomplete Observations in Finance," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 1(2), pages 216-249.
    8. Foschi, Paolo & Belsley, David A. & Kontoghiorghes, Erricos J., 2003. "A comparative study of algorithms for solving seemingly unrelated regressions models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 3-35, October.
    9. Belsley, David A. & John Kontoghiorghes, Erricos, 2005. "Second Special issue on Computational Econometrics," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 283-285, April.
    10. Mariano,Roberto & Schuermann,Til & Weeks,Melvyn J. (ed.), 2000. "Simulation-based Inference in Econometrics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521591126.
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    Cited by:

    1. Doretti, Marco, 2012. "Modelli di scoring per il rischio paese [Scoring models for country risk]," MPRA Paper 38898, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Simulated scores; missing data; multivariate normal regression model; estimation/simulation; general pattern of missingness; simultaneous equations; structural form; reduced form;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C30 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - General
    • C81 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data; Data Access

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