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Output variability in an open-economy macro model with variance-dependent parameters

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  • Warren E. Weber

Abstract

This paper analyzes the variability of output under money supply and exchange rate rules in an open economy in which the slope of the aggregate supply curve depends on the variances of aggregate demand and market-specific innovations. It demonstrates that results regarding the dominance of one rule over the other when the slope of the aggregate supply curve is constant are reversed when the slope of the aggregate supply curve depends on the variances of innovations and these variances are sufficiently large.

Suggested Citation

  • Warren E. Weber, 1984. "Output variability in an open-economy macro model with variance-dependent parameters," Staff Report 94, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedmsr:94
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Michael Parkin & Brian Bentley & Christina Fader, 1979. "Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs: A Reappraisal," University of Western Ontario, Departmental Research Report Series 7924, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics.
    2. Gray, Jo Anna, 1976. "Wage indexation: A macroeconomic approach," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 221-235, April.
    3. Sargent, Thomas J & Wallace, Neil, 1975. ""Rational" Expectations, the Optimal Monetary Instrument, and the Optimal Money Supply Rule," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 83(2), pages 241-254, April.
    4. Barro, Robert J., 1976. "Rational expectations and the role of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 1-32, January.
    5. Dotsey, Michael & King, Robert G., 1983. "Monetary instruments and policy rules in a rational expectations environment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 357-382, September.
    6. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1973. "Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 63(3), pages 326-334, June.
    7. Weber, Warren E, 1981. "Output Variability under Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Rules," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 89(4), pages 733-751, August.
    8. Robert P. Flood & Nancy Peregrim Marion, 1982. "The Transmission of Disturbances under Alternative Exchange-Rate Regimes with Optimal Indexing," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 97(1), pages 43-66.
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