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Aggregation over time and the inverse optimal predictor problem for adaptive expectations in continuous time

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Author Info
Lars Peter Hansen
Thomas J. Sargent

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Abstract

This paper describes the continuous time stochastic process for money and inflation under which Cagan’s adaptive expectations model is optimal. It then analyzes how data formed by sampling money and prices at discrete points in time would behave.

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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis in its series Staff Report with number 74.

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Date of creation: 1981
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedmsr:74

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J. Sargent, 1980. "Methods for estimating continuous time Rational Expectations models from discrete time data," Staff Report 59, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
  2. Marc Nerlove, 1967. "Distributed Lags and Unobserved Components in Economic Time Series," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 221, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Thomas J. Sargent, 1981. "The ends of four big inflations," Working Papers 158, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J. Sargent, 1982. "Formulating and estimating continuous time rational expectations models," Staff Report 75, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
  3. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J. Sargent & Thomas D. Tallarini Jr., 1997. "Robust Permanent Income and Pricing," Levine's Working Paper Archive 596, David K. Levine. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Lawrence J. Christiano, 1981. "Rational expectations, hyperinflation, and the demand for money," Working Papers 163, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
  5. Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum, 1987. "Temporal aggregation and structural inference in macroeconomics," Working Papers 306, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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