An empirical examination of exchange-rate credibility determinants in the EMS
Abstract
This paper provides empirical evidence on the determinants of exchange rate credibility under the European Monetary System (EMS). To that end, we have considered both economic variables and political factors using data of eight currencies participating in the Exchange Rate Mechanism, covering the complete EMS history (1979-1998). Our results suggest that the level of international reserves, the real interest rate and right-wing governments would have positively affected the credibility of a given central parity, while the unemployment rate and the inflation rate would have negative influenced such credibility.(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)
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Paper provided by FEDEA in its series Working Papers on International Economics and Finance with number 04-01.Length:
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Handle: RePEc:fda:fdadef:04-01
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Keywords:Other versions of this item:
- Francisco Ledesma-Rodriguez & Jorge Perez-Rodriguez & Simon Sosvilla-Rivero, 2006. "An empirical examination of exchange-rate credibility determinants in the EMS," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(13), pages 847-850.
- Francisco Ledesma-Rodríguez & Jorge Pérez-Rodríguez & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2004. "An empirical examination of exchange-rate credibility determinants in the EMS," Working Papers 04-01, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales.
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models
- D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
- F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2005-04-03 (All new papers)
- NEP-CBA-2005-04-03 (Central Banking)
- NEP-FMK-2005-04-03 (Financial Markets)
- NEP-MON-2005-04-03 (Monetary Economics)
References
References listed on IDEASPlease report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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