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Go where the wind does not blow: Climate damages heterogeneity and future migrations

Author

Listed:
  • Lesly Cassin

    (ENSAIA – Université de Lorraine – Bureau d'Economie Théorique Appliqué)

  • Aurélie Méjean

    (Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement)

  • Stéphane Zuber

    (Université Paris 1 – CNRS – Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne/Paris School of Economics)

Abstract

In the context of climate change, migration can be considered as an adaptation strategy to reduce populations' exposure to climate damages. Those damages are very heterogeneous across regions. In this paper, we study migration induced by climate change damages. To do so, we estimate the socio-economic determinants of migration, focusing on economic damages. We then model endogenous migration in an integrated assessment model based on those estimates. We highlight the importance of the heterogeneity of the damages distribution to explain migration fows due to climate change. We find that high levels of climate damages globally do not necessarily induce large climate migration. Rather, large differences in exposure between regions may lead to substantial migration.

Suggested Citation

  • Lesly Cassin & Aurélie Méjean & Stéphane Zuber, 2023. "Go where the wind does not blow: Climate damages heterogeneity and future migrations," Working Papers 2023.02, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:fae:wpaper:2023.02
    as

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    File URL: http://faere.fr/pub/WorkingPapers/Cassin_Mejean_Zuber_FAERE_WP2023.02.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate Change; Damage; Migration; Integrated Assessment Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration

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