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Elaboration of crisis early warning system for Kyrgyzstan

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Author Info
Mironova Yuliya ()
Abstract

The main goals of the proposed project are: thorough analysis of the major approaches to early warning crisis prediction, testing of the most successful existing crisis models with reference to Kyrgyzstan data, and selection of the optimal financial crisis model for Kyrgyz Republic.

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Paper provided by EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS in its series EERC Working Paper Series with number 03-084e.

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Date of creation: 05 Jan 2007
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Handle: RePEc:eer:wpalle:03-084e

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E69 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Other

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  4. Obstfeld, Maurice, 1996. "Models of Currency Crises with Self-fulfilling Features," CEPR Discussion Papers 1315, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    Other versions:
  6. Maurice Obstfeld, 1984. "Balance-of-Payments Crises and Devaluation," NBER Working Papers 1103, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Rose, Andrew K., 1996. "Currency crashes in emerging markets: An empirical treatment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-4), pages 351-366, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Catherine A. Pattillo & Andrew Berg, 1998. "Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test," IMF Working Papers 98/154, International Monetary Fund.
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  17. Jeanne, Olivier, 1999. "Currency Crises: A Perspective on Recent Theoretical Developments," CEPR Discussion Papers 2170, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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