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Adaptation to climate change: Formulating policy under uncertainty

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  • Leo Dobes

    () (Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University)

Abstract

Economists were able to formulate and recommend policy approaches for reducing emissions of greenhouse gases (mitigation) by drawing on an existing body of economic theory related to externalities. However, no comparably straightforward approach has yet emerged in the adaptation literature, possibly due to the diffuse nature of climatic effects that may occur in very diverse geographical locations. By acknowledging that the hallmark of future climate change effects is uncertainty, rather than readily identifiable and deterministic outcomes, it is possible to formulate coherent policy approaches. Recognising that there are differing degrees of uncertainty is a key aspect to making policy formulation more realistic.

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File URL: http://ccep.anu.edu.au/data/2012/pdf/wpaper/CCEP1201Dobes.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Centre for Climate Economics & Policy, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University in its series CCEP Working Papers with number 1201.

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Date of creation: Jan 2012
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:een:ccepwp:1201

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Related research

Keywords: adaptation; climate change; risk; uncertainty; unknown unknowns;

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  1. Randall,Alan, 2011. "Risk and Precaution," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521759199.
  2. Hendrik Wolff & Howard Chong & Maximilian Auffhammer, 2011. "Classification, Detection and Consequences of Data Error: Evidence from the Human Development Index," Working Papers UWEC-2008-10-P, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
  3. John Quiggin & Robert G. Chambers, 2005. "Economists and uncertainty," Risk & Uncertainty Working Papers WP2R05, Risk and Sustainable Management Group, University of Queensland.
  4. Richard T. Woodward & Richard C. Bishop, 1997. "How to Decide When Experts Disagree: Uncertainty-Based Choice Rules in Environmental Policy," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 73(4), pages 492-507.
  5. Davis, Graham A., 1996. "Real options: Managerial flexibility and strategy in resource allocation : Lenos Trigeorgis The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 1996, xiii + 427 pp. (hardcover), ISBN 0-262-20102-X," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 218-220, September.
  6. Dobes, Leo, 2009. "Adapting More Cleverly To Climate Change By Using ‘Real Options’ To Address The Uncertainties," 2009 Conference (53rd), February 11-13, 2009, Cairns, Australia 47615, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  7. Randall,Alan, 2011. "Risk and Precaution," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521766159.
  8. Howard C. Kunreuther & Erwann O. Michel-Kerjan, 2009. "At War with the Weather: Managing Large-Scale Risks in a New Era of Catastrophes," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262012820.
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Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Climate Change Adaptation in Pacific island countries: Donors, Big Men, Real Options
    by Matthew Dornan in Development Policy Blog on 2012-01-31 19:00:17

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