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Interest Rate Caps Smile Too! But Can the LIBOR Market Models Capture It?

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Author Info
Feng Zhao
Robert Jarrow
Haitao Li

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Abstract

Using more than two years of daily interest rate cap price data, this paper provides a systematic documentation of a volatility smile in cap prices. We find that Black (1976) implied volatilities exhibit an asymmetric smile (sometimes called a sneer) with a stronger skew for in-the-money caps than out-of-the-money caps. The volatility smile is time varying and is more pronounced after September 11, 2001. We also study the ability of generalized LIBOR market models to capture this smile. We show that the best performing model has constant elasticity of variance combined with uncorrelated stochastic volatility or upward jumps. However, this model still has a bias for short- and medium-term caps. In addition, it appears that large negative jumps are needed after September 11, 2001. We conclude that the existing class of LIBOR market models can not fully capture the volatility smile

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Paper provided by Econometric Society in its series Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings with number 431.

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Date of creation: 11 Aug 2004
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Handle: RePEc:ecm:nawm04:431

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Related research
Keywords: LIBOR market models; volatility smile; interest rate caps;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C4 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics
C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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  13. Cox, John C & Ingersoll, Jonathan E, Jr & Ross, Stephen A, 1985. "A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(2), pages 385-407, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Anders B. Trolle & Eduardo S. Schwartz, 2006. "A General Stochastic Volatility Model for the Pricing and Forecasting of Interest Rate Derivatives," NBER Working Papers 12337, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Eymen Errais & Fabio Mercurio, 2005. "Yes, Libor Models can capture Interest Rate Derivatives Skew : A Simple Modelling Approach," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 192, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
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