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A Quantitative Framework for Assessing Public Investment in Tourism- An Application to Haiti

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  • Onil Banerjee

    (Infrastructure and Environment Sector - IDB)

  • Martin Cicowiez

    (CEDLAS-UNLP)

Abstract

This study develops a linked regional computable general equilibrium and micro-simulation (RCGE-MS) model to assess the regional economy-wide and poverty impacts of a US$36 million investment in tourism in the south of Haiti. The first social accounting matrix for Haiti with a base year of 2012/2013 was constructed to calibrate the model. This research addresses three key gaps identified in the tourism impact assessment literature. First, a destination-specific tourism demand and value chain analysis was used to calibrate the shocks implemented in the model. Second, the RCGE-MS approach moves beyond the representative household configuration to enable more robust analysis of tourism investment impacts on poverty and income inequality. Third, results of this modelling were used to inform a social cost-benefit analysis to provide greater transparency in the evaluation of trade-offs between investment alternatives. Considering the investment and projected tourism demand, results show a positive impact on sectoral activity, especially for the hotel and restaurant sector (182.1% in 2040). The investment leads to a 2.0% increase in Gross Regional Product in 2040 compared with the baseline. The South Department’s exports are 4.7% below baseline in 2040 and imports are 6.1% higher due to the inflow of foreign exchange and the consequent appreciation of the regional real exchange rate, increased demand for most goods and services, and limited regional productive capacity. The rate of unemployment falls, beginning at 26% in 2013 and ending at 23.4% by 2040. The investment helps lift some of the poorest in the Haiti’s South out of poverty, reducing the poverty headcount by 1.6 percentage points. Driving this result is an increase in employment, the average wage and non-labor income. The linked RCGE-MS approach proves to be a powerful tool for assessing how tourism investments affect regional economic activity and revealing the mechanisms through which tourism can contribute to increase employment opportunities and reduce poverty.

Suggested Citation

  • Onil Banerjee & Martin Cicowiez, 2015. "A Quantitative Framework for Assessing Public Investment in Tourism- An Application to Haiti," CEDLAS, Working Papers 0180, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.
    • Handle: RePEc:dls:wpaper:0180
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    Cited by:

    1. Onil Banerjee & Martin Cicowiez & Thomas Ochuodho & Michel Masozera & Bernabas Wolde & Pankaj Lal & Sebastian Dudek & Janaki R.R. Alavalapati, 2017. "Financing the Sustainable Management of Rwanda’s Protected Areas," CEDLAS, Working Papers 0211, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.
    2. Lili Li & Yiwu Zeng & Yanmei He & Qiuxia Qin & Jianhao Wang & Changluan Fu, 2022. "Developing Village-Based Green Economy in an Endogenous Way: A Case Study from China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(13), pages 1-22, June.
    3. Cicowiez, Martín & Ordóñez, Romina, 2021. "The economic impacts of tourism-related private investment in Jamaica," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    4. Onil Banerjee & Martín Cicowiez & Jamie Cotta, 2016. "Economic Assessment of Development Interventions in Data Poor Countries: An Application to Belize’s Sustainable Tourism Program," CEDLAS, Working Papers 0194, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.
    5. Erick Lahura & Rosario Sabrera, 2023. "The effect of infrastructure investment on tourism demand: a synthetic control approach for the case of Kuelap, Peru," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 443-478, July.
    6. Jan van der Borg & Mario Volpe & Nicola Camatti & Andrea Albarea, 2021. "Are sports events necessarily black holes for public finances? The case of Milan-Cortina 2026," Working Papers 2021:12, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    7. Onil Banerjee & Martin Henseler & Hélène Maisonnave & Lulit Mitik Beyene & Mercedes Velasco, 2017. "An integrated model for evaluating investments in cultural heritage tourism in the Dominican Republic," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(8), pages 1568-1580, December.
    8. Banerjee, Onil & Cicowiez, Martin & Moreda, Adela, 2017. "Reconciliation Once and for All: Economic Impact Evaluation and Social Cost Benefit Analysis," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 8531, Inter-American Development Bank.
    9. Lei Zhao & Xin Xia, 2020. "Tourism and poverty reduction: Empirical evidence from China," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(2), pages 233-256, March.
    10. Canh, Nguyen Phuc & Thanh, Su Dinh, 2020. "Domestic tourism spending and economic vulnerability," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    11. Erick Lahura & Rosario Sabrera, 2020. "Inversión en infraestructura y demanda turística: una aplicacion del enfoque de control sintético para el caso de Kuélap, Perú," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2020-491, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    12. Rolfe, John, 2019. "Simple economic frameworks to evaluate public investments in sporting events in regional Australia," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 35-43.
    13. Castillo, Victoria & Figal Garone, Lucas & Maffioli, Alessandro & Salazar, Lina, 2017. "The causal effects of regional industrial policies on employment: A synthetic control approach," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 25-41.
    14. Banerjee, Onil & Cicowiez, Martin & Horridge, Mark & Vargas, Renato, 2019. "Evaluating synergies and trade-offs in achieving the SDGs of zero hunger and clean water and sanitation: An application of the IEEM Platform to Guatemala," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 280-291.
    15. Banerjee, Onil & Alavalapati, Janaki R.R. & Lima, Eirivelthon, 2016. "A framework for ex-ante analysis of public investment in forest-based development: An application to the Brazilian Amazon," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 204-214.
    16. Qi Wang & Yue’e Liao & Jun Gao, 2022. "Rural Residents’ Intention to Participate in Pro-Poor Tourism in Southern Xinjiang: A Theory of Planned Behavior Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-17, July.
    17. Banerjee, Onil & Cicowiez, Martin & Cotta, Jamie, 2016. "Economics of tourism investment in data scarce countries," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 115-138.

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