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Testing for Serial Correlation Against an ARMA(1,1) Process

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Author Info
Donald W.K. Andrews () (Cowles Foundation, Yale University)
Werner Ploberger (University of Rochester)

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Abstract

This paper is concerned with tests for serial correlation in time series and in the errors of regression models. In particular, the nonstandard problem of testing for white noise against ARMA(1,1) alternatives is considered. Sup Lagrange multiplier (LM) and exponential average LM tests are introduced and are shown to be asymptotically admissible for ARMA(1,1) alternatives. In addition, they are shown to be consistent against all (weakly stationary strong mixing) non-white noise alternatives. Simulation results compare the tests to several tests in the literature. These results show that the Exp-LM_{infinity} test has very good all-around power properties.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Cowles Foundation, Yale University in its series Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers with number 1077.

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Length: 27 pages
Date of creation: Sep 1994
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Publication status: Published in Journal of the American Statistical Association, 91(435), 1996
Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:1077

Note: CFP 933.
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Postal: Cowles Foundation, Yale University, Box 208281, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 USA

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Andrews, Donald W K & Ploberger, Werner, 1994. "Optimal Tests When a Nuisance Parameter Is Present Only under the Alternative," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 62(6), pages 1383-1414, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Donald W.K. Andrews & Werner Ploberger, 1993. "Admissibility of the Likelihood Ratio Test When a Nuisance Parameter Is Present OnlyUnder the Alternative," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1058, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  3. Hansen, B.E., 1991. "Inference when a Nuisance Parameter is Not Identified Under the Null Hypothesis," RCER Working Papers 296, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
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  4. B. Pötscher, 1985. "The behaviour of the Lagrangian multiplier test in testing the orders of an ARMA-model," Metrika, Springer, vol. 32(1), pages 129-150, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. repec:cup:etheor:v:8:y:1992:i:2:p:241-57 is not listed on IDEAS
  6. Herman J. Bierens & Werner Ploberger, 1997. "Asymptotic Theory of Integrated Conditional Moment Tests," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 65(5), pages 1129-1152, September.
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  7. Andrews, Donald W K, 1993. "Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change with Unknown Change Point," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 821-56, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Ravi Bansal & Amir Yaron, 2000. "Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles," NBER Working Papers 8059, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Ai Deng, 2005. "Understanding Spurious Regression in Financial Economics," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2005-048, Boston University - Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. P.H. Franses & D.J. van Dijk, 2002. "A simple test for PPP among traded goods," Econometric Institute Report 255, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Donald W.K. Andrews & Liu, Xuemei Liu & Werner Ploberger, 1996. "Tests of Seasonal and Non-Seasonal Serial Correlation," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1124, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  5. Choi, In, 1999. "Testing the Random Walk Hypothesis for Real Exchange Rates," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(3), pages 293-308, May-June. [Downloadable!]
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