Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

Indirect Inference, Nuisance Parameter and Threshold Moving Average

Contents:

Author Info

Abstract

We analyse the modifications that occur in indirect inference when a nuisance parameter is not identified under the null hypothesis. We develop a testing procedure adapted to this simulation based estimation method, and detail its use for detecting the threshold effect in threshold moving average models with contemporaneous and lagged asymetries. In contrast to existing threshold models, these models allow to take into account the presence of asymetric effects of current and lagged random shocks on US GNP growth rates. Nous analysons les modifications à apporter à la méthode d'inférence indirecte lorsqu'un paramètre de nuisance n'est pas identifié sous l'hypothèse nulle. Nous développons une procédure de test adaptée à cette méthode d'estimation fondée sur des simulations, et détaillons son utilisation dans la détection de l'effet de seuil dans des modèles moyennes mobiles à seuils avec asymétries contemporaines et retardées. Par rapport aux autres modèles à seuils existants, ces modèles permettent de prendre en compte la présence d'effets asymétriques des chocs courants et retardés sur la série de taux de croissance du PNB américain.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL: http://www.unites.uqam.ca/eco/CREFE/cahiers/cah95.ps
Our checks indicate that this address may not be valid because: 404 Not Found (http://www.unites.uqam.ca/eco/CREFE/cahiers/cah95.ps [301 Moved Permanently]--> http://www.economie.uqam.ca/CREFE/cahiers/cah95.ps [301 Moved Permanently]--> http://economie.esg.uqam.ca/CREFE/cahiers/cah95.ps). If this is indeed the case, please notify (Stéphane Pallage)
File Function: Main text
Download Restriction: no

File URL: http://www.unites.uqam.ca/eco/CREFE/cahiers/cah95.pdf
Our checks indicate that this address may not be valid because: 500 Internal Server Error (http://www.unites.uqam.ca/eco/CREFE/cahiers/cah95.pdf [301 Moved Permanently]--> http://www.economie.uqam.ca/CREFE/cahiers/cah95.pdf [301 Moved Permanently]--> http://economie.esg.uqam.ca/CREFE/cahiers/cah95.pdf). If this is indeed the case, please notify (Stéphane Pallage)
File Function: Main text
Download Restriction: no

Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal in its series Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers with number 95.

as in new window
Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: Nov 1999
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cre:crefwp:95

Contact details of provider:
Postal: P.O. Box 8888, Downtown Station, Montreal (Canada) Quebec, H3C 3P8
Phone: (514) 987-6181
Fax: (514) 987-8494
Email:
Web page: http://ideas.uqam.ca/CREFE/
More information through EDIRC

Related research

Keywords: threshold model; indirect inference; nuisance parameter;

Find related papers by JEL classification:

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

References

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
as in new window
  1. Tauchen, George E. & Gallant, A. Ronald, 1995. "Which Moments to Match," Working Papers 95-20, Duke University, Department of Economics.
  2. Eric Ghysels & Alain Guay & Alastair Hall, 1995. "Predictive Tests for Structural Change with Unknown Breakpoint," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-20, CIRANO.
  3. Hansen, B.E., 1991. "Inference when a Nuisance Parameter is Not Identified Under the Null Hypothesis," RCER Working Papers 296, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
  4. Andrews, Donald W K & Ploberger, Werner, 1994. "Optimal Tests When a Nuisance Parameter Is Present Only under the Alternative," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 62(6), pages 1383-1414, November.
  5. Ghysels, Eric & Guay, Alain, 2003. "Structural change tests for simulated method of moments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 91-123, July.
  6. Gourieroux, C & Monfort, A & Renault, E, 1993. "Indirect Inference," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(S), pages S85-118, Suppl. De.
  7. Eric Ghysels & Alain Guay, 1998. "Structural Change Tests for Simulated Method of Moments," Working Papers 98-37, Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique.
  8. repec:fth:inseep:9837 is not listed on IDEAS
  9. Beaudry, Paul & Koop, Gary, 1993. "Do recessions permanently change output?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 149-163, April.
  10. repec:cup:etheor:v:12:y:1996:i:4:p:657-81 is not listed on IDEAS
  11. Gouriéroux, Christian & Monfort, Alain, 1995. "Testing, Encompassing, and Simulating Dynamic Econometric Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(02), pages 195-228, February.
  12. Donald W.K. Andrews, 1990. "Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change with Unknown Change Point," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 943, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  13. Babsiri, Mohamed El & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2001. "Contemporaneous asymmetry in GARCH processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 101(2), pages 257-294, April.
  14. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-84, March.
  15. repec:cup:etheor:v:11:y:1995:i:2:p:195-228 is not listed on IDEAS
Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

Citations

Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
as in new window

Cited by:
  1. Matteo Barigozzi & Roxana Halbleib & David Veredas, 2012. "Which model to match?," Banco de Espa�a Working Papers 1229, Banco de Espa�a.
  2. Catherine Bruneau & Amine Lahiani, 2006. "Estimation d'un modèle TIMA avec asymétrie contemporaine par inférence indirecte," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 142(IV), pages 479–500, December.
  3. Taştan, Hüseyin, 2011. "Simulation based estimation of threshold moving average models with contemporaneous shock asymmetry," MPRA Paper 34302, University Library of Munich, Germany.

Lists

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

Statistics

Access and download statistics

Corrections

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cre:crefwp:95. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Stéphane Pallage).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.