This paper investigates theoretically and empirically the effect on exchange rates of integrating monetary policy in Europe. It shows that the likely effect will be to generate a tighter European monetary policy (notwithstanding credibility aspects which are not discussed). The argument is that trade disequilibria will be less of a threat to European monetary policy than it is at the moment. Under certain circumstances, which are explored in the text, this could lead to a more volatile euro than we have currently (as a basket of currencies).
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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number
1673.
Find related papers by JEL classification: F3 - International Economics - - International Finance F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
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