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Can Capital Controls Alter the Inflation-Unemployment Trade-off?

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Author Info
Razin, Assaf
Yuen, Chi-Wa

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Abstract

It is well known that in the Mundell-Fleming model capital mobility creates a channel through which permanent (transitory) shocks to aggregate demand such as fiscal and trade shocks are completely (partially) neutralized by the response of the real exchange rate. An important policy implication of the model which has gone largely unnoticed is how the transmission of these shocks under different degrees of capital mobility may alter the inflation-unemployment trade-off, i.e. the Phillips Curve. In the context of the stochastic Mundell-Fleming model we show that capital controls reduce the output/employment variations at the expense of larger variations in inflation rates. When policy-makers put more weight on stable employment rather than stable inflation, their objectives can thus be attained more easily under capital controls.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 1252.

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Date of creation: Oct 1995
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:1252

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Related research
Keywords: Capital Controls; Demand Shock; Inflation-Unemployment Trade-off; Money Shock; Stochastic Mundell-Fleming Model; Supply Shock;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution
F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Campbell, John Y. & Clarida, Richard H., 1987. "The term structure of euromarket interest rates : An empirical investigation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 25-44, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Flood, Robert P & Marion, Nancy Peregrim, 1982. "The Transmission of Disturbances under Alternative Exchange-Rate Regimes with Optimal Indexing," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 97(1), pages 43-66, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1976. "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(6), pages 1161-76, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Razin, Assaf & Sadka, Efraim, 1991. "Efficient investment incentives in the presence of capital flight," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-2), pages 171-181, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Meese, R. & Rogoff, K., 1988. "Was It Real? The Exchange Rate-Interest Differential Ralation Over The Modern Floating-Rate Period," Working papers 368, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
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  1. Abhijit Sen Gupta, 2007. "Does Capital Account Openness Lower Inflation?," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi Working Papers 191, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi, India. [Downloadable!]
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