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La "nouvelle économie" au futur antérieur : histoire, théories, géographie

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Author Info
Boyer, Robert
Abstract

La diffusion des technologies de l'information et de la communication (TIC) était supposée déboucher sur un régime économique sans précédent marqué par une croissance forte, régulière et non inflationniste. S'ouvrait une ère nouvelle en matière d'organisation des firmes (essor des jeunes pousses, déclin des grandes firmes) et pour les sociétés dans leur ensemble (danger d'un fossé numérique). Quatre approches distinctes mais complémentaires remettent en question ce diagnostic. La microéconomie des rendements croissants et de l'information imparfaite explique l'instabilité des modèles organisationnels de la "nouvelle économie". L'analyse historique de la trajectoire américaine montre que le mode de régulation a changé depuis les années soixante, du fait de la conjonction d'un ensemble de changements structurels qui ne résultent pas du seul impact de l'innovation technique. Les Etats-Unis ne sont pas uniques, les pays sociaux démocrates et certaines économies en rattrapage font mieux que le capitalisme de marché. Ainsi la distinction entre "ancienne" et "nouvelle économie" est condamnée à disparaître rapidement car l'avenir des TIC est de contribuer à la réorganisation de nombreuses activités tertiaires liées par exemple à la santé, l'éducation, des loisirs. L'éclatement de la convention Internet puis la récession américaine de 2000-2001 incitent à la recherche d'un autre régime de croissance d'avenir, sans doute plus anthroponomique qu'informationnel.

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Paper provided by CEPREMAP in its series CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) with number 0113.

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Length: 75 pages
Date of creation: 2001
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Handle: RePEc:cpm:cepmap:0113

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Web page: http://www.cepremap.cnrs.fr

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies
O33 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
O47 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Measurement of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
O51 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - U.S.; Canada

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Stefano Scarpetta & Andrea Bassanini & Dirk Pilat & Paul Schreyer, 2000. "Economic Growth in the OECD Area: Recent Trends at the Aggregate and Sectoral Level," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 248, OECD Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  2. Romain Duval, 2004. "Quel Crédit Faut-il Accorder à la 'Nouvelle Economie' Américaine ?," Macroeconomics 0407011, EconWPA, revised 28 Jul 2004. [Downloadable!]
  3. Barbara M. Fraumeni, 2001. "E-Commerce: Measurement and Measurement Issues," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 318-322, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Jonathan Temple, 2000. "Summary of an Informal Workshop on the Causes of Economic Growth," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 260, OECD Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  5. Boyer, Robert, 2001. "L'économiste face aux innovations qui font époque : les relations entre histoire et théorie," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 0112, CEPREMAP. [Downloadable!]
  6. Alan B. Krueger & Mikael Lindahl, 2000. "Education for Growth: Why and For Whom?," NBER Working Papers 7591, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. Martin Neil Baily & Robert Z. Lawrence, 2001. "Do We Have a New E-conomy?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 308-312, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Eve Caroli & John Van Reenen, 2001. "Skill-Biased Organizational Change? Evidence From A Panel Of British And French Establishments," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 116(4), pages 1449-1492, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  9. John B. Taylor, 2001. "The Role of the Exchange Rate in Monetary-Policy Rules," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 263-267, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Robert E. Litan & Alice M. Rivlin, 2001. "Projecting the Economic Impact of the Internet," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 313-317, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. David, P.A., 2000. "Understanding Digital Technology's Evolution and the Path of Measured Productivity Growth: Present and Future in the Mirror of the Past," Papers 99-011, United Nations World Employment Programme-.
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  12. Martin N. Baily & Robert Lawrence, 2001. "Do We Have A New E-Conomy?," NBER Working Papers 8243, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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