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Impacto del gasto público en la dinámica económica regional

Author

Listed:
  • Henry Antonio Mendoza Tolosa
  • Daniela Galindo Moren
  • Brian Alexander Vargas González

Abstract

La dinámica económica de un país es sin duda uno de los temas de estudio más importantes en la actualidad. En Colombia, diariamente se busca encontrar las razones del rezago en el crecimiento del país, por lo cual surge la necesidad de realizar un análisis sobre el desarrollo y dinámica económica regional y cómo estos factores se ven influenciados por la inversión y el Gasto Público. La información de gasto e inversión pública no se encuentra especificada ni disponible en las cuentas departamentales elaboradas por el Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadística (DANE) por lo tanto ésta investigación genera un gran aporte en cuanto a medición y análisis económico regional para el país se refiere. Con base en el Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales Unidas 2008 y en las Cuentas Departamentales Nacionales se elabora una base de datos para el periodo de tiempo 2000 – 2011 que incluye entre otras, las estimaciones del Consumo intermedio, Producción departamental estimada y Gasto Público para los 32 departamentos del país más Bogotá. Los resultados obtenidos indican que el gasto público y la inversión son variables que afectan de forma directa la dinámica económica departamental del país y, contrario a lo esperado, se concluye que, aunque el Gasto Publico tiene una influencia enorme en la dinámica económica de todos los departamentos, ésta es menor en aquellos con economías pequenas que en los que poseen economías medianas y grandes.******The impact that public spending and investment have upon economic growth in the departments of Colombia is examined using the results of national accounts for the years 2000-2011. Figures for departmental production by activity, along with change over the period and information for the gross public capital are brought together to create a statistical model to assess effects. A data panel model is chosen to relate the existing differences between departments and compare the impact of spending and investment between departments using the available information. Results indicate that public spending and investment play an important role in departmental economic dynamic and that its effect is greater in larger and wealthier departments.

Suggested Citation

  • Henry Antonio Mendoza Tolosa & Daniela Galindo Moren & Brian Alexander Vargas González, 2013. "Impacto del gasto público en la dinámica económica regional," Documentos de Trabajo 12399, Universidad Católica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000444:012399
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Carlos Esteban Posada & Wilman Gómez, 2002. "Crecimiento económico y gasto público: un modelo para el caso colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 20(41-42), pages 5-86, June.
    2. Laura Ardila Rueda, 2004. "Gasto público y convergencia regional en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 22(45), pages 222-268, June.
    3. Ricardo Rocha & Alejandro Vivas, 1998. "Crecimiento regional en Colombia: ¿Persiste la desigualdad?," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, January.
    4. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H72 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Budget and Expenditures
    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General
    • R50 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - General

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