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El rol de los gobernadores opositores en las elecciones presidenciales

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Joel Sebastián Schneider

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Abstract

Este trabajo efectúa un análisis de la forma en que los partidos de oposición actúan en las elecciones presidenciales, buscando darles un rol activo. Para ello se construye un modelo con dos niveles de gobierno, uno Nacional y el otro provincial o estadual. Estados Unidos, Argentina, Brasil y México, republicas presidencialistas federales, serán sometidas a un relevamiento empírico, que permitirá confirmar la hipótesis de que es más probable que cuando la oposición obtenga la presidencia, es por postular un gobernador provincial exitoso, mientras que la mayoría de las veces el oficialismo postula un hombre del gobierno nacional.

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Paper provided by Universidad del CEMA in its series CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. with number 281.

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Date of creation: Dec 2004
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Handle: RePEc:cem:doctra:281

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D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Models of Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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  1. Wittman, Donald, 1977. "Candidates with policy preferences: A dynamic model," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 180-189, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Kenneth Rogoff & Anne Sibert, 1988. "Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Cycles," NBER Working Papers 1838, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Kenneth Rogoff, 1990. "Equilibrium Political Budget Cycles," NBER Working Papers 2428, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Jorge Miguel Streb, 2005. "Signaling in Political Budget Cycles: How Far Are You Willing to Go?," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 7(2), pages 229-252, 05. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Piero Ghezzi & Ernesto Stein & Jorge M. Streb, 2000. "Real exchange rate cycles around elections," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 174, Universidad del CEMA. [Downloadable!]
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