IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bku/doctra/2007002.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Real (effective) exchange rate in Uruguay: a periodic cointegration approach

Author

Listed:
  • Elizabeth Bucacos

    (Banco Central del Uruguay)

Abstract

When the seasonal component of a particular time series is treated as if it were a mere deterministic phenomenon instead of a stochastic one, it may lead to inconsistent estimations, statistical inference errors and policy biases. This issue is addressed in this paper focusing on the real effective exchange rate in Uruguay for the 1983:1-2006:4 period.

Suggested Citation

  • Elizabeth Bucacos, 2007. "Real (effective) exchange rate in Uruguay: a periodic cointegration approach," Documentos de trabajo 2007002, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    • Handle: RePEc:bku:doctra:2007002
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.bcu.gub.uy/Estadisticas-e-Indicadores/Documentos%20de%20Trabajo/2.2007.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2007
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joshua Aizenman & Daniel Riera-Crichton, 2008. "Real Exchange Rate and International Reserves in an Era of Growing Financial and Trade Integration," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 90(4), pages 812-815, November.
    2. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    3. Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Yoo, B. S., 1990. "Seasonal integration and cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 215-238.
    4. Franses, Philip Hans, 1996. "Periodicity and Stochastic Trends in Economic Time Series," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774549.
    5. Peter Boswijk, H., 1994. "Testing for an unstable root in conditional and structural error correction models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 37-60, July.
    6. Engle, Robert F. & Yoo, Byung Sam, 1987. "Forecasting and testing in co-integrated systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 143-159, May.
    7. Diego Gianelli & Matías Mednik, 2006. "Un modelo de corrección de errores para el tipo de cambio real en el Uruguay: 1983:I-2005:IV," Documentos de trabajo 2006002, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Elizabeth Bucacos, 2008. "Real (effective) exchange rate in Uruguay: a periodic cointegration approach," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 265-289, julio-sep.
    2. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van & Opschoor,Anne, 2014. "Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521520911.
    3. Antoine Martin & Cyril Monnet, 2008. "Marcos de implementación de la política monetaria: un análisis comparativo," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 221-262, julio-sep.
    4. Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Óscar Reinaldo Becerra Camargo, 2008. "Una descripción de la dinámica de las tasas de interés de corto plazo en Colombia," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 145-173, julio-sep.
    5. Fernando N. de Oliveira, 2008. "Canal de crédito bancario en Brasil: evidencia de la oferta de crédito bancario y de la composición del financiamiento externo de las empresas," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 175-220, julio-sep.
    6. Beenstock, Michael & Reingewertz, Yaniv & Paldor, Nathan, 2016. "Testing the historic tracking of climate models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1234-1246.
    7. John D. Levendis, 2018. "Time Series Econometrics," Springer Texts in Business and Economics, Springer, number 978-3-319-98282-3, August.
    8. del Barrio Castro, Tomás & Osborn, Denise R., 2008. "Cointegration For Periodically Integrated Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(1), pages 109-142, February.
    9. Bardsen, G. & Klovland, J.T., 1990. "Finding The Rigth Nominal Anchor: The Cointegration Of Money, Credit And Nominal Income In Norway," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 350, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    10. Younes Ben Zaied & Marie Estelle Binet, 2015. "Modelling seasonality in residential water demand: the case of Tunisia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(19), pages 1983-1996, April.
    11. PHILIP E.T. LEWIS & GARRY A. MacDONALD, 1993. "Testing for Equilibrium in the Australian Wage Equation," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 69(3), pages 295-304, September.
    12. Boswijk, H. Peter & Franses, Philip Hans & van Dijk, Dick, 2010. "Cointegration in a historical perspective," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 158(1), pages 156-159, September.
    13. Luis Armando Galvis & Maria Modesta Aguilera, 1999. "Determinantes de la demanda por turismo hacia Cartagena, 1987-1998," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 51, pages 47-87, Julio Dic.
    14. Zanias, George P., 1999. "Seasonality and spatial integration in agricultural (product) markets," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 20(3), pages 253-262, May.
    15. Lof, Marten & Hans Franses, Philip, 2001. "On forecasting cointegrated seasonal time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 607-621.
    16. Bardsen, Gunnar, 1990. "Dynamic Modelling And The Demand For Narrow Money In Norway," Economic Research Papers 268479, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    17. Bierens, Herman J., 1997. "Nonparametric cointegration analysis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 379-404, April.
    18. Smeekes, Stephan & Wijler, Etienne, 2021. "An automated approach towards sparse single-equation cointegration modelling," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 247-276.
    19. Afşin Şahin & Aysit Tansel & M. Hakan Berument, 2015. "Output–Employment Relationship Across Sectors: A Long- Versus Short-Run Perspective," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(3), pages 265-288, July.
    20. Roberto Martínez-Espiñeira, 2007. "An Estimation of Residential Water Demand Using Co-Integration and Error Correction Techniques," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 161-184, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    real effective exchange rate; periodic cointegration; Uruguay;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • N16 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Latin America; Caribbean

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bku:doctra:2007002. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Biblioteca Especializada (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bcugvuy.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.