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Determinantes de la demanda por turismo hacia Cartagena, 1987-1998

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  • Luis Armando Galvis
  • Maria Modesta Aguilera

Abstract

El presente documento se propone estudiar los factores que determinan la demanda de turismo nacional e internacional hacia la ciudad de Cartagena. Se evalúa el papel de la tasa de cambio real, utilizada como proxy de los precios relativos, y la capacidad de gasto nacional y extranjera, medida por el producto interno bruto (PIB), como determinantes de la demanda turística. A partir de un modelo de cointegración estacional se concluye que la demanda de turismo es elástica al ingreso. También se encuentra que la demanda extranjera presenta una alta elasticidad precio, con lo cual la revaluación y los aumentos en los precios domésticos motivan una reducción en el gasto

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Armando Galvis & Maria Modesta Aguilera, 1999. "Determinantes de la demanda por turismo hacia Cartagena, 1987-1998," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 51, pages 47-87, Julio Dic.
    • Handle: RePEc:lde:journl:y:1999:i:51:p:47-87
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Martha Misas & Rodrigo Suescún, 1993. "Funciones de demanda de dinero y el comportamiento estacional del mercado monetario," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 12(23), pages 55-79, June.
    8. Michael Vogt & Chutima Wittayakorn, 1998. "Determinants of the demand for Thailand's exports of tourism," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(6), pages 711-715.
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    Cited by:

    1. Álvaro Chaves Castro., 2005. "Un modelo de cointegración estacional de la producción industrial, Colombia 1993-2005," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, December.
    2. Adolfo Meisel Roca, 2003. "La continentalización de la isla de San Andrés, Colombia: Panyas, raizales y turismo, 1953-2003," Documentos de trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 37, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Turismo - Colombia; Oferta y demanda; Hoteles; Tasa de cambio real; Cartagena (Colombia) - Turismo;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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