IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bis/biswps/578.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Asset managers, eurodollars and unconventional monetary policy

Author

Listed:
  • Lawrence L Kreicher
  • Robert Neil McCauley

Abstract

An asset manager's rapid liquidation in the weeks around the end of September 2014 of a very large position in eurodollar futures, a huge derivatives market that allows traders to position on the future path of dollar money rates, raises two questions. What is the profile of asset managers in this key market? And how has the Federal Reserve's unconventional monetary policy, including forward guidance about policy rates, affected this market? Asset managers generally hold the largest eurodollar positions among buy-side traders but play a lesser role in day-to-day trading. Second, the Fed's unconventional policy saw the average maturity of eurodollar contracts traded between 2008 and 2014 double and it has remained at an elevated maturity since then. Moreover, from 2012 into 2015 eurodollar turnover responded more strongly to Federal Reserve announcements than to macroeconomic news, a finding analogous to that of Filardo and Hofmann (2014) for yields. In 2015 asset managers took a large short position in eurodollar futures; this unprecedented position would profit if the Federal Reserve's own projections of policy rates ("dots") were realised. Judging from eurodollar futures, asset managers now play an important role in facilitating or hindering the transmission of monetary policy to market rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Lawrence L Kreicher & Robert Neil McCauley, 2016. "Asset managers, eurodollars and unconventional monetary policy," BIS Working Papers 578, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:578
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.bis.org/publ/work578.pdf
    File Function: Full PDF document
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://www.bis.org/publ/work578.htm
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bauer, Michael D. & Neely, Christopher J., 2014. "International channels of the Fed's unconventional monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 24-46.
    2. Coval, Joshua & Stafford, Erik, 2007. "Asset fire sales (and purchases) in equity markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(2), pages 479-512, November.
    3. Xavier Gabaix & Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Vasiliki Plerou & H. Eugene Stanley, 2006. "Institutional Investors and Stock Market Volatility," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 121(2), pages 461-504.
    4. Ingo Fender & Ulf Lewrick, 2015. "Shifting tides - market liquidity and market-making in fixed income instruments," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    5. Steven Friedman & Ellen Correia Golay & Michael McMorrow, 2013. "Understanding the New York Fed's Survey of Primary Dealers," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 19(Aug).
    6. Simon M. Potter, 2016. "The advantages of probabilistic survey questions: remarks at the IT Forum and RCEA Bayesian Workshop, keynote address, Rimini, Italy, May 2016," Speech 211, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    7. Andrew Filardo & Boris Hofmann, 2014. "Forward guidance at the zero lower bound," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Torsten Ehlers & Egemen Eren, 2016. "The changing shape of interest rate derivatives markets," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    2. Claudio Borio & Robert Neil McCauley & Patrick McGuire, 2017. "FX swaps and forwards: missing global debt?," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    3. Torsten Ehlers & Bryan Hardy, 2019. "The evolution of OTC interest rate derivatives markets," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hendershott, Terrence & Menkveld, Albert J., 2014. "Price pressures," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(3), pages 405-423.
    2. Michele Manna & Stefano Nobili, 2023. "Banks' holdings of and trading in government bonds," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 257-283, January.
    3. Iñaki Aldasoro & Wenqian Huang & Nikola Tarashev, 2021. "Asset managers, market liquidity and bank regulation," BIS Working Papers 933, Bank for International Settlements.
    4. Chen, Jingnan & Feng, Liming & Peng, Jiming, 2015. "Optimal deleveraging with nonlinear temporary price impact," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 244(1), pages 240-247.
    5. Itzhak Ben-David & Francesco Franzoni & Rabih Moussawi & John Sedunov, 2021. "The Granular Nature of Large Institutional Investors," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(11), pages 6629-6659, November.
    6. van Holle, Frederiek, 2017. "Essays in empirical finance and monetary policy," Other publications TiSEM 30d11a4b-7bc9-4c81-ad24-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    7. Christian Pfister & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policies: A stock-taking exercise," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 130(2), pages 137-169.
    8. Kiran Paudel & Atsuyuki Naka, 2023. "Effects of size on the exchange-traded funds performance," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(6), pages 474-484, October.
    9. Bruno Biais & Johan Hombert & Pierre-Olivier Weill, 2014. "Equilibrium Pricing and Trading Volume under Preference Uncertainty," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 81(4), pages 1401-1437.
    10. Abduraimova, Kumushoy, 2022. "Contagion and tail risk in complex financial networks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    11. Curatola, Giuliano, 2022. "Price impact, strategic interaction and portfolio choice," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    12. Molestina Vivar, Luis & Wedow, Michael & Weistroffer, Christian, 2023. "Burned by leverage? Flows and fragility in bond mutual funds," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 354-380.
    13. Eksi, Ozan & Tas, Bedri Kamil Onur, 2017. "Unconventional monetary policy and the stock market’s reaction to Federal Reserve policy actions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 136-147.
    14. Yoshito Funashima, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and unconventional monetary policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(3), pages 278-292, June.
    15. Lloyd, S. P., 2017. "Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Interest Rate Channel: Signalling and Portfolio Rebalancing," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1735, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    16. Hartwell, Christopher A., 2014. "The impact of institutional volatility on financial volatility in transition economies : a GARCH family approach," BOFIT Discussion Papers 6/2014, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    17. Chang, Xiaochen & Guo, Songlin & Huang, Junkai, 2022. "Kidnapped mutual funds: Irrational preference of naive investors and fund incentive distortion," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    18. Lixiang Wang & Wendi Hou & Yupei Liu, 2023. "How do co‐shareholding networks affect negative media coverage? Evidence from China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(4), pages 4221-4249, December.
    19. Bihari, Péter, 2015. "Odüsszeuszi utazás - az előretekintő iránymutatás tapasztalatai [An Odysseian journey - experience with forward guidance]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 749-766.
    20. Greenwood, Robin & Landier, Augustin & Thesmar, David, 2015. "Vulnerable banks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(3), pages 471-485.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    asset managers; mutual funds; derivatives; unconventional monetary policy; forward guidance; money market; eurodollar futures;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:578. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Christian Beslmeisl (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bisssch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.