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Weather the Storms? Hurricanes, Technology and Oil Production

Author

Listed:
  • Johan Brannlund
  • Geoffrey R. Dunbar
  • Reinhard Ellwanger
  • Matthew Krutkiewicz

Abstract

Do technological improvements mitigate the potential damages from extreme weather events? We address this question using oil production and hurricane data from the Gulf of Mexico. We show that hurricane activity lowers well production and that stronger storms have larger impacts that persist for months after impact. Hurricanes also significantly increase the probability that oil assets are stranded, particularly when the hurricanes pass within 50km of an oil rig’s location. Regulations enacted in 1980 that required improved construction standards for rigs in the Gulf only modestly mitigated the short-run production losses caused by hurricanes. The 1980 regulatory reforms also modestly decreased the probability that leases permanently exited production.

Suggested Citation

  • Johan Brannlund & Geoffrey R. Dunbar & Reinhard Ellwanger & Matthew Krutkiewicz, 2022. "Weather the Storms? Hurricanes, Technology and Oil Production," Staff Working Papers 22-36, Bank of Canada.
    • Handle: RePEc:bca:bocawp:22-36
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Johan Brannlund & Geoffrey R. Dunbar & Reinhard Ellwanger, 2022. "Are Temporary Oil Supply Shocks Real?," Staff Working Papers 22-52, Bank of Canada.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business fluctuations and cycles; Climate change; Potential output;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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