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Estimates of the Sticky-Information Phillips Curve for the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom

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Hashmat Khan
Zhenhua Zhu

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File URL: http://www.bankofcanada.ca/en/res/wp/2002/wp02-19.pdf
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Paper provided by Bank of Canada in its series Working Papers with number 02-19.

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Length: 40 pages Abstract: Mankiw and Reis (2001a) have proposed a “sticky-information”-based Phillips curve (SIPC) to address some of the concerns with the “sticky-price”-based new Keynesian Phillips curve. In this paper, we present a methodology for the empirical implementation of the SIPC for closed and open economies. We estimate its key structural parameter—the average duration of information stickiness—for the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. The benchmark results (with forecasting horizons of firms of seven to eight quarters) indicate that: (i) the average frequency of information updates is four quarters in the United States, between four and five quarters in Canada, and over seven quarters in the United Kingdom, and (ii) the open-economy estimates for Canada and the United Kingdom are similar to the closed-economy ones. Mankiw and Reis (2001a) assume information stickiness of four quarters to generate inflation dynamics similar to that observed in the U.S. data. We interpret our estimates in terms of the slope of the Phillips curve. Our structural estimates can be used to calibrate dynamic general-equilibrium models for monetary policy analysis that use informational inertia to match the stylized facts on inflation dynamics.
Date of creation: 2002
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Handle: RePEc:bca:bocawp:02-19

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Keywords: Economic models Inflation and prices

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Jean-Philippe Cayen & Simon van Norden, 2002. "La fiabilité des estimations de l'écart de production au Canada," Working Papers 02-10, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
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  1. Norman Swanson & Oleg Korenok, 2006. "The Incremental Predictive Information Associated with Using Theoretical New Keynesian DSGE Models Versus Simple Linear Alternatives," Departmental Working Papers 200615, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Jonas Dovern & Joerg Doepke & Ulrich Fritsche & Jirka Slacalek, 2006. "The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200603, Hamburg University, Department Wirtschaft und Politik. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Oleg Korenok, 2005. "Empirical Comparison of Sticky Price and Sticky Information Models," Working Papers 0501, VCU School of Business, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Jörg Döpke & Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2006. "Sticky Information Phillips Curves : European Evidence," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 615, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Peter Tinsley & Sharon Kozicki, 2003. "Alternative Sources of the Lag Dynamics of Inflation," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 92, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Ieva Rubene & Paolo Guarda, 2004. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Empirical Results For Luxembourg," BCL working papers cahier_etude_11, Central Bank of Luxembourg. [Downloadable!]
  7. Döpke, Jörg & Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Slacalek, Jirka, 2005. "European inflation expectations dynamics," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2005,37, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
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