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Volatility of volatility estimation: central limit theorems for the Fourier transform estimator and empirical study of the daily time series stylized facts

Author

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  • Giacomo Toscano
  • Giulia Livieri
  • Maria Elvira Mancino
  • Stefano Marmi

Abstract

We study the asymptotic normality of two feasible estimators of the integrated volatility of volatility based on the Fourier methodology, which does not require the pre-estimation of the spot volatility. We show that the bias-corrected estimator reaches the optimal rate $n^{1/4}$, while the estimator without bias-correction has a slower convergence rate and a smaller asymptotic variance. Additionally, we provide simulation results that support the theoretical asymptotic distribution of the rate-efficient estimator and show the accuracy of the latter in comparison with a rate-optimal estimator based on the pre-estimation of the spot volatility. Finally, using the rate-optimal Fourier estimator, we reconstruct the time series of the daily volatility of volatility of the S\&P500 and EUROSTOXX50 indices over long samples and provide novel insight into the existence of stylized facts about the volatility of volatility dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Giacomo Toscano & Giulia Livieri & Maria Elvira Mancino & Stefano Marmi, 2021. "Volatility of volatility estimation: central limit theorems for the Fourier transform estimator and empirical study of the daily time series stylized facts," Papers 2112.14529, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2112.14529
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    Cited by:

    1. Maria Elvira Mancino & Tommaso Mariotti & Giacomo Toscano, 2022. "Asymptotic Normality for the Fourier spot volatility estimator in the presence of microstructure noise," Papers 2209.08967, arXiv.org.
    2. Carsten H. Chong & Viktor Todorov, 2023. "Asymptotic Expansions for High-Frequency Option Data," Papers 2304.12450, arXiv.org.
    3. Alessio Brini & Giacomo Toscano, 2024. "SpotV2Net: Multivariate Intraday Spot Volatility Forecasting via Vol-of-Vol-Informed Graph Attention Networks," Papers 2401.06249, arXiv.org.
    4. Carsten H. Chong & Viktor Todorov, 2023. "Volatility of Volatility and Leverage Effect from Options," Papers 2305.04137, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.

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